Racing at Santa Anita With Marc Doche: Blind Luck In The Grade II El Encino
Before being crowned champion three-year-old filly of 2010 at tomorrow night’s Eclipse Awards, Blind Luck has some business to take care of on the track. She makes her 2011 debut in today’s Grade II $150,000 El Encino against just four other four-year-old fillies and will try to overcome a speed biased main track by winning with her customary deep closing style at the mile and a sixteenth distance.
The daughter of Pollard’s Vision trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and ridden by Joel Rosario is listed as the 4-to-5 odds-on favorite on the morning line after last year’s campaign that saw her win three Grade I races, highlighted by a victory in the Kentucky Oaks, and culminated with a second place finish against older females in the Breeders’ Cup Ladies Classic.
If she doesn’t win, it will likely be because she is unable to run down 6-to-1 shot Champagne d’Oro, the only other Grade 1 winner in the field, who will be ridden by Joe Talamo for the first time today.
Coming off three consecutive disappointing finishes after romping home by over four lengths in the Grade I Test Stakes at Saratoga back in August, the daughter of Medaglia d’Oro is ideally drawn inside for trainer Eric Guillot and can find the shortest way around the track by cutting the corner into the clubhouse turn.
Yesterday, we missed hitting the pick 4 for the fourth time in five tries when 5-to-1 shot Pure Distinction won the final leg and brought with him over a $1,400 payout. We try again today and …
We’re off to the races!
Best Bet of the Day (ROI based off $2 WPS bet)
Race 7 - #2 Calle Vista (5/2 ML) – The scratch of Michael’s Rose leaves the five-year-old daughter of Pleasantly Perfect alone on the lead going a mile on the turf. Lone speed on the turf has held up just as well as it has on the dirt early in the meet.
Yesterday’s Result – Got all the money with Irridescent Red (+$5.20)
Total for 2010-11 Santa Anita meet — (-$29.70)
Late Pick 4
Leg 1 – Race 6 (1,5,6,7) – Older females running for a $12,500 tag go a mile on the main track and we go four deep. No. 1 Misinjennous has run second twice after a pair of wins and retains the services of Rafael Bejarano while moving to a new barn.
No. 5 Tripped the Light can be forwardly placed and was effective running at this level at Golden Gate last year.
No. 6 Sweetsouthernqueen was claimed back by Mike Mitchell in her last and has won 14-of-31 career starts.
No. 7 Malusita is dangerous on the front end retaining the services of Rosario, who has been aboard for her last two wins.
Leg 2 – Race 7 (2) – We’ll put all our eggs in Calle Vista’s basket in this allowance optional claiming event.
Leg 3 - Race 8 (1,2,3,6) – Another stakes race decimated by scratches and we’ll use the aforementioned two contenders as well as No. 3 Malibu Pier, who ran great to finish second in the Grade 1 La Brea here after a terrible start, and No. 6 Always a Princess, who could get first run on the closers stalking the early speed of Champagne d’Oro.
Leg 4 – Race 9 (1,5,6,10,11) – Five deep to close the day in this five and a half furlong “sprint” for older $20,000 maiden claimers.
Recap – (1,5,6,7) w (2) w (1,2,3,6) w (1,5,6,10,11) – Total cost of ticket = $40
Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches and much more!
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Yesterday’s Result – (-$108)
Total for 2010-11 Santa Anita meet — (+$3,826.70)
Total for 2010 Del Mar meet — (-$554.55)
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