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College Football Kraus Index: Week Two

Doug KrausSep 9, 2008

In Week One I devised an index that measured weekly team performance. I have tweaked the computations slightly for Week Two and will continue to tweak the formula until I feel it is just right.

Since this is semi-subjective, there is no perfect formula—just like the BCS. Index numbers are on a sliding scale, negatives generally mean a loss and positives generally mean a win. The further from zero the better (or worse) the team performed.

This week, let's start off with some conference statistics which I did not have for Week One. The first is how each conference has performed through the first two weeks. I think these numbers are directionally correct as they line up with out-of-conference winning percentiles and whom the losses were against.

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Conference    Average
SEC    1.42
Big 12    1.38
Big Ten    1.28
Pac-10    0.94
MWC    0.05
C-USA    (0.00)
ACC    (1.22)
MAC    (1.25)
1-A Indep    (1.59)
Big East    (1.68)
WAC    (4.20)
Sun Belt    (4.76)

In Week Two, East Carolina and Vanderbilt's performances put them at the top of the index. Washington State is dead last, which isn't too surprising, but Miami (FL) being so far down the list tells me that I need to do some more work on my index formulation (though the score was lopsided, as were total yards). Several teams did not play, some due to Gustav.

      Team    TOTAL
1    East Carolina    5.65
2    Vanderbilt    3.31
3    California    3.18
4    Iowa    2.94
5    Kansas    2.89
6    Arizona State    2.41
7    Florida    2.29
8    Penn State    2.26
9    Oregon    2.20
10    Arkansas State    2.17
11    Air Force    2.14
12    Florida State    2.12
13    TCU    2.06
14    Oklahoma    2.03
15    Wisconsin    2.02
16    Tulsa    1.95
17    Georgia    1.93
18    Minnesota    1.86
19    Kansas State    1.84
20    Indiana    1.79
21    Wake Forest    1.74
22    Middle Tennessee    1.71
23    Akron    1.68
24    Baylor    1.68
25    Arizona    1.68
26    Missouri    1.66
27    Utah    1.65
28    Ohio State    1.65
29    Nebraska    1.58
30    Michigan State    1.56
31    Virginia    1.55
32    Louisville    1.55
33    Michigan    1.53
34    Texas    1.42
35    Iowa State    1.39
36    Kentucky    1.38
37    Arkansas    1.37
38    BYU    1.36
39    South Florida    1.33
40    Texas Tech    1.32
41    Oklahoma State    1.32
42    Auburn    1.32
43    Pittsburgh    1.17
44    Ball State    1.14
45    Mississippi State    1.11
46    Georgia Tech    1.10
47    Florida Atlantic    1.10
48    Connecticut    1.06
49    Alabama    1.06
50    Western Kentucky    1.02
51    Texas A&M    1.00
52    Northwestern    0.98
53    Hawaii    0.98
54    Virginia Tech    0.97
55    Notre Dame    0.92
56    Clemson    0.92
57    Illinois    0.86
58    Purdue    0.79
59    Western Michigan    0.74
60    Rice    0.73
61    Idaho    0.70
62    Southern Methodist    0.67
63    North Carolina State    0.54
64    Colorado State    0.34
65    Colorado    0.33
66    Mississippi    (0.65)
67    Duke    (0.76)
68    Washington    (0.91)
69    South Carolina    (0.93)
70    Louisiana-Monroe    (0.97)
71    New Mexico    (1.05)
72    Nevada    (1.10)
73    Boston College    (1.13)
74    UCF    (1.14)
75    Northern Illinois    (1.26)
76    Memphis    (1.26)
77    Southern Miss    (1.46)
78    UAB    (1.49)
79    Temple    (1.50)
80    Houston    (1.50)
81    San Diego State    (1.66)
82    Kent State    (1.69)
83    Buffalo    (1.70)
84    Navy    (1.82)
85    Ohio    (1.95)
86    UNLV    (1.99)
87    Maryland    (2.00)
88    Syracuse    (2.10)
89    Tulane    (2.15)
90    Cincinnati    (2.16)
91    Stanford    (2.29)
92    Utah State    (2.52)
93    Miami (OH)    (2.57)
94    San Jose State    (2.59)
95    Toledo    (2.63)
96    UTEP    (2.66)
97    Oregon State    (2.72)
98    Bowling Green    (2.74)
99    North Texas    (2.81)
100    Central Michigan    (3.32)
101    Marshall    (3.61)
102    Eastern Michigan    (4.00)
103    Army    (6.12)
104    Wyoming    (8.44)
105    Miami (FL)    (8.53)
106    West Virginia    (8.72)
107    Louisiana Tech    (15.47)
108    Florida International    (22.44)
109    Washington State    (22.73)
110    North Carolina    DNP
111    Rutgers    DNP
112    UCLA    DNP
113    USC    DNP
114    Tennessee    DNP
115    Louisiana-Lafayette    DNP
116    Boise State    DNP
117    Fresno State    DNP
118    New Mexico State    DNP
119    Troy    DNP
120    LSU    DNP

Again, please let me know just how far off you think these rankings seem to you. Also, if anybody can tell me how to build better-looking, easier to read tables, I would appreciate it.

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