I went a solid 11-5 last week, and I'm off to a 1-0 start in Week 14 thanks to the Colts' narrow victory over the Titans. Hope to keep it rolling Sunday!
Last week's record: 11-5
2010 season record: 126-67 (65.3%)
Browns over Bills — I don't think Buffalo is quite as bad as their record, but they have the worst run defense in the NFL, which could mean another big day for Peyton Hillis.
Packers over Lions — Calvin Johnson is understandably sick of losing, but he can't turn this team into a winner all by himself. I don't see Detroit winning this one.
Vikings over Giants — The Giants are obviously the better team, but the underachieving Vikings are not without talent. I'll take them at home, especially given the Giants' troubles with travel that might not see them arrive in Minnesota until game day.
Steelers over Bengals — Another week, another loss for the Bengals. The Steelers shouldn't lose this one at home.
Buccaneers over Redskins — The Bucs lost a close one to Atlanta in Week 13, but their defense is playing better and they should fare much better against Washington.
Falcons over Panthers — If anyone has a good reason why the best team in the NFC will lose to the worst team in the NFL, I'm all ears. I can't think of any.
Jaguars over Raiders — I still have a hard time believing Jacksonville is for real, but they are rolling right now and have home field advantage against the inconsistent Raiders.
Saints over Rams — St. Louis has certainly performed above everyone's expectations, but you still have to take Drew Brees and the Saints at home.
49ers over Seahawks — I think San Francisco gets a little boost with Alex Smith returning as quarterback, while the Seahawks are just unimpressive without any healthy receivers.
Patriots over Bears — I wouldn't call the Bears pretenders for as well as they've played this season, but I'm still skeptical they can hang with the Patriots.
Jets over Dolphins — New York didn't do anything to impress against the Patriots last week, but I don't see them getting handled that way again and the Dolphins are not the Patriots.
Broncos over Cardinals — The Broncos have been pretty bad this season and are in the midst of a coaching change, but it's hard to imagine Cardinals rookie quarterback John Skelton beating anyone in his first NFL start.
Chargers over Chiefs — San Diego was playing well before their hiccup against Oakland, and I don't believe the Chiefs will be the same team with Brodie Croyle in for Matt Cassel (appendectomy) at quarterback.
Eagles over Cowboys — Dallas lost their biggest offensive weapon in Dez Bryant and will have a hard time topping the Cowboys despite their recent improved play.
Ravens over Texans — The Texans always have trouble being consistent, and I think Baltimore rebounds from a tough loss to the Steelers.
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Chris J. Nelson majored in journalism at Georgia State University and is currently a programming coordinator for Turner Sports in Atlanta. He operates his own Miami Dolphins website, The Miami Dolphins Spotlight, and he can be followed on Twitter here.