Auburn Football 2010: Why Home Field Advantage Might Not Help Alabama

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Auburn Football 2010: Why Home Field Advantage Might Not Help Alabama
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Alabama will be playing at home for the Iron Bowl in 2010. They will be playing the same Auburn team that they came back to beat in the final two minutes of the 2009 game with the following exception:

Chris Todd was replaced by Cam Newton at quarterback.

Comparison in production per game:

Statistic

Chris Todd

Cam Newton

Rushing

-10.55 yards

117.9 yards

Passing

200.92 yards

185.27 yards

Touchdowns

1.69 per game

3.55 per game

Interceptions

.46 per game

.55 per game

Total Yards

190.37 yards

303.17 yards

Net gain 112.8 yards per game and 1.86 touchdowns.

Ben Tate was replaced by Mike Dyer at running back.

Statistic

Ben Tate

Mike Dyer

Rushing

104.76 yards

78 yards

Receiving

8.07 yards

.82 yards

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Touchdowns

.77

.45

Total

112.83 yards

78.82 yards

Net loss 34.01 yards per game and .32 touchdowns.

Tommy Trott was replaced by Philip Lutzenkirchen at Tight End

Statistic

Tommy Trott

Philip Lutzenkirchen

Receiving

11.07 yards

10.18 yards

Touchdowns

.15

.36

Net gain .21 touchdowns, net loss .89 yards.

Andrew McCain was replaced by Brandon Mosley at right tackle; this seems to have worked out well in 2010.

The remainder of the offense has improved with another year to grasp the complex Malzahn offensive scheme. This has been quite a difference for 2010.

Statistic

Auburn Offense 2009

Auburn Offense 2010

Total Offense

431.77 yards

505.18 yards

Scoring Offense

33.31 points

42.82 points

Third Downs Conversion Percentage

40.11 percent

53.33 percent

Time of Possession

28.04

29.01

Touchdowns

55 (13 games)

61 (11 games)

The final results speak for themselves; the Auburn football team has improved in the majority of offensive and defensive statistical categories. This is a much better Auburn team than the one that Alabama defeated in 2009.

How did the two teams stack up in 2009?

Comparison 2009 Iron Bowl

Statistic

Auburn 

Alabama 

Scoring Offense

21 points

26 points

Total Offense

332 yards

291 yards

Rushing Yards

151 yards

73 yards

Passing Yards

181 yards

218 yards

Tackles for Loss

6

9

Sacks

3

3

There is little doubt that Auburn has improved over 2009, but what of Alabama?

Defense

Statistic

Alabama 2009

Alabama 2010

Rushing Defense

78.14 yards

124.73 yards

Passing Defense

166 yards

168.73 yards

Pass Efficiency Defense

87.67

96.02

Total Defense

244.14 yards

293.45 yards

Scoring Defense

11.71 points

12.82 points

Kick Coverage

25.06 yards

21.43 yards

Punt Coverage

9.18 yards

7.13 yards

Net Punting

34.67 yards

37.03 yards

Sacks

2.29

1.64

Tackles for Loss

7

5

Third Down Stop Percentage

70.01

66.05 percent

Red Zone Defense

67 percent

69 percent

Touchdowns Allowed

1.28

1.27

Alabama has declined in defensive performance in nine of 13 categories when compared to 2009.

Offense

Statistic

Alabama 2009

Alabama 2010

Rushing Offense

215.07 yards

184.91 yards

Passing Offense

187.93 yards

249.73 yards

Pass Efficiency Offense

138.5

166.83

Total Offense

403 yards

434.64 yards

Scoring Offense

32.07 points

35.27 points

Sacks Allowed

1.43

2.45

Tackles for Loss Allowed

4.71

5

Third Down Conversion Percentage

39.18 percent

44.8 percent

First Downs

20.57

21.73

Red Zone Offense

86 percent

83 percent

Time of Possession

33.31

30.25

Touchdowns

3.71

4.36

Turnover Margin

1.36

1.09

There are few gains in production for the 2010 Alabama offense. 

Will the home field advantage be able to overcome the decrease in so many areas for this year’s Iron Bowl?

All fans will get their answer to this question on Friday, but the tale of statistics shows a certain advantage for Auburn.  

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