NFL Picks Week 10: Baltimore Ravens and St. Louis Rams To Cover
Last weeks record against the spread: 4-3
Overall against the spread record: 43-25 (63%)
Last week I learned something: Do not touch the Dallas Cowboys with a 10 foot pole.
I also learned that you have to go with your gut feeling.
Something just told me that Cleveland would play good against New England and sure enough they did.
That being said, you really do have to go with your gut feeling and if that only means taking one game against the spread that week, then so be it.
My gut feeling has six picks against the spread this week from the following game lines.
Baltimore at Atlanta: Atlanta -1
Cincinnati at Indianapolis: Indianapolis -7
Houston at Jacksonville: Jacksonville -1.5
Tennessee at Miami: Tennessee -2
Minnesota at Chicago: Minnesota -1
Detroit at Buffalo: Buffalo -3
NY Jets at Cleveland: Cleveland -3
Carolina at Tampa Bay: Tampa Bay -6.5
Kansas City at Denver: Kansas City -1
St. Louis at San Francisco: San Francisco -6
Seattle at Arizona: Arizona -3
Dallas at NY Giants: NY Giants -14
New England at Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh -4.5
Philadelphia at Washington: Philadelphia -3
Houston +1.5 at Jacksonville
Houston is slipping and Jacksonville's last game against the Cowboys was just nasty.
So many signs say this game might actually go to Jacksonville.
But I am not giving up on the Texans just yet.
Houston still has plenty of offensive weapons, including one of the top running backs of the season in Arian Foster.
Sure, they have their weaknesses as well, but I just don't see the Jaguars as capable of fully exposing them.
Take Houston here to cover, which translates to the Texans winning straight up.
Detroit + 3 at Buffalo
Buffalo is winless and Detroit isn't much better with only two wins on the year.
But this Detroit team is about one or two players away from really being relevant in the NFL.
They are more than capable of putting up points, no matter if Shaun Hill or Matt Stafford is playing quarterback.
Buffalo on the other hand is the worst team in the NFL this season for a reason.
I'll take Detroit to cover at minimum, but winning straight up is more likely if you ask me.
Kansas City -1 at Denver
The AFC West is one of two divisions in the NFL that make no sense.
Kansas City is in first place while the Broncos are in last place.
Maybe I'm crazy here, but in the spirit of how crazy this division is right now, I think I am justified in saying anything can happen here.
Even after starting 5-3, I am still skeptical about the Chiefs and the Broncos are better than 2-6 if you ask me.
Upset alert: Broncos win straight up.
St. Louis +6 at San Francisco
As I was saying, the AFC West is one of two divisions that make no sense this season.
Insert the NFC West.
At 4-4 the Rams are in first place while the original favorite for the division, the 49ers are in last place with a 2-6 record.
And yet San Francisco is still favored to win by six?
Sorry, but I am on the Rams bandwagon with Sam Bradford making his run for rookie of the year.
Perhaps the 49ers pull this one off with Troy Smith playing quarterback.
But I am still taking the Rams to cover at least.
Seattle +3 at Arizona
Arizona needs help.
They can't get the running game going.
Even with Larry Fitzgerald, their passing game stinks.
And I have yet to see anything on defense that could make even this 4-4 Seattle Seahawks team quiver.
Sure Seattle is 4-4, but with Matt Hasselbeck coming back this week, I see that record improving this week with them winning straight up.
But if you aren't as optimistic as I am, they should still cover at least.
Baltimore +1 at Atlanta
I know Atlanta is playing pretty good right now and they are sitting on top of their division, but I just can't take this spread.
To me, Baltimore is a potential Super Bowl team and Atlanta is a possible divisional winner at best.
Sure, this game is in Atlanta which does help the Falcons.
But Ed Reed and this Baltimore Ravens defense doesn't care where they cause mayhem.
They don't discriminate.
Take Baltimore against the spread here, which really means take them to win straight up with the spread only being one point.