College Football Week 11: Picks and Predictions

Jake WestrichSenior Writer INovember 8, 2010

GAINESVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 16:  Coach urban Meyer of the Florida Gators checks the scoreboard during play against the Mississippi State Bulldogs October 16, 2010 Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Gainesville, Florida.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

Each Monday morning,'s NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game, including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gain here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week, available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically-based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their teams' game simulations for that week.

Game of the Week: South Carolina at Florida

With no signs of a leg, knee or ankle injury, one Florida Gator is leaning on a crutch leading up to his game against South Carolina.

From the makers of "we're taking it one game at a time" comes Florida center Mike Pouncey's "we've turned it into a one-game season." This cliche quote crutch is a popular accessory the final month of the regular season.

For head coach Urban Meyer, the Gators' one-game seasons of the past carried the pressure of reaching the BCS National Championship. This time around, the only reward a win over the Gamecocks assures Florida is a trip to Atlanta and a spot in the SEC Championship game. The Gators' glass slipper (available to teams with strong schedules and/or, some would argue, select SEC programs) broke weeks ago, and a crystal football is out of the question for the three-loss Gators heading into Week 11.

Up until last weekend, the South Carolina Gamecocks could hang their hat on the fact that they beat the defending national champs in Alabama. But LSU proved SC's early October accomplishment could be duplicated, and perhaps the Crimson Tide, though talented, may not have what it takes to repeat the feat. It was after their win over Alabama that Steve Spurrier, the ole' ball coach, returned to the front page of college football relevancy.

But his return to glory was short-lived.

Since their win over the Tide, South Carolina lost to Kentucky (1-5 SEC), beat Vanderbilt (1-5 SEC) 21-7 in a lackluster performance, beat Tennessee (0-5 SEC) in a shootout and got blown out by Arkansas at home, 41-20, last Saturday.

Florida endured its first three-game losing streak (Alabama, LSU and Mississippi State) for the first time in eleven years earlier this season, but have somewhat righted the ship with an overtime win against Georgia and a dismantling of Vanderbilt last weekend, 55-14.

The Gators have won 18 out of the last 19 contests against the Gamecocks, with South Carolina's only win coming in Meyer's first season at Florida.

Using our college football simulation engine, we "played" this game 101 times and South Carolina won 67.3 percent of the time by an average score of 29-24.


FUN FACT: Urban Meyer is 15-0 when his team blocks a punt during a game.


College Football Week 11
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Wake Forest Demon Deacons29.723Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack70.332 
Clemson Tigers33.730Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles66.335 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes49.028Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets51.029 
Maryland Terrapins53.525Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers46.524 
Boston College Eagles54.525Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils45.524 
Virginia Tech Hokies61.429Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels38.625 
Cincinnati Bearcats39.626Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers60.430 
South Florida Bulls49.523Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals50.524 
Pittsburgh Panthers70.331Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies29.722 
Syracuse Orange75.725Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights24.315 
Indiana Hoosiers5.018Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers95.042 
Penn State Nittany Lions11.916Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes88.131 
Minnesota Golden Gophers25.719Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini74.328 
Michigan Wolverines48.529Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers51.530 
Iowa Hawkeyes86.133Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats13.919 
Ball State Cardinals20.317Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls79.727 
Toledo Rockets26.725Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies73.334 
Eastern Michigan Eagles27.716Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos72.323 
Army Black Knights41.616Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes58.418 
Miami (OH) RedHawks48.520Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons51.521 
Washington State Cougars15.819Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers84.232 
USC Trojans33.722Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats66.330 
Stanford Cardinal79.238Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils20.828 
Oregon Ducks95.043Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears5.016 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks5.915Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers94.135 
UTEP Miners5.928Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks94.145 
Vanderbilt Commodores11.914Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats88.131 
Mississippi State Bulldogs14.418Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide85.634 
Georgia Bulldogs23.826Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers76.237 
South Carolina Gamecocks67.329Boxscore
@ Florida Gators32.724 
Mississippi Rebels70.330Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers29.723 
Nevada Wolf Pack64.438Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs35.636 
Utah State Aggies86.132Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans13.920 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs95.036Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies5.09 
Boise State Broncos95.049Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals5.030 
Central Michigan Chippewas56.925Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen43.122 
Utah Utes86.135Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish13.920 
Kansas Jayhawks5.011Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers95.039 
Kansas State Wildcats12.916Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers87.132 
Iowa State Cyclones41.122Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes58.925 
Texas Tech Red Raiders47.530Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners52.532 
Texas A&M Aggies75.237Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears24.829 
Oklahoma State Cowboys76.235Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns23.826 
Memphis Tigers8.914Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd91.131 
Rice Owls23.823Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave76.232 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane29.733Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars70.338 
East Carolina Pirates59.433Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers40.628 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles62.437Boxscore
@ UCF Knights37.633 
New Mexico Lobos5.010Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons95.034 
San Diego State Aztecs10.918Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs89.140 
Wyoming Cowboys76.727Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels23.317 
Brigham Young Cougars76.227Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams23.818 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers5.017Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves95.037 
North Texas Mean Green20.820Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79.230 
Florida International Golden Panthers22.823Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans77.235 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns55.928Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls44.126 


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