Conventional wisdom and sports betting odds are overwhelmingly in favor of Manny Pacquiao in his fight against disgraced former WBO, IBF and WBA Welterweight champion, the "Tijuana Tornado" Antonio Margarito.
Ask any Filipino and he will give you ample reassurance that "Pacman" will not only win easily against his naturally larger opponent but also give him the beating of his life.
Ask any Mexican and I wouldn't be surprised if more than half of them predict Margarito losing, and coming from such a proud boxing nation, that's surprising. But after seeing Pacquiao demolish Mexican legend one after another, from Erik Morales to Juan Manuel Marquez, and continue his meteoric rise to the top of professional boxing (and have a similarly meteoric rise in weight class), even his most ardent critics have had to acknowledge his brilliance.
As he went up in weight, the story was always the same.
David Diaz at lightweight was supposed to be too big for him. Pacquiao knocked him out in the ninth. Turns out Diaz was too slow and lumbering.
Oscar De La Hoya, even at a catchweight, was supposed to be too big for him. Pacquiao forced him to quit after the eighth. Turns out De La Hoya was too old and washed up to bother the Filipino pugilist.
Ricky Hatton, at light welterweight, was too big and strong for him. He was knocked out in the second and forced to retire, at least indefinitely. Turns out Hatton's fight with Mayweather had rendered him a shell of his former self.
Then came a resurgent Miguel Cotto whose only loss was against Margarito, who many suspect had plaster of Paris in his gloves that fight. Cotto resorted to running away in the last few rounds, prompting the referee to call the fight. Turns out Cotto never really recovered from the Mayweather fightl.
Josh Clottey, though, wasn't even considered a threat and proved it during his fight, where he showed persistent defense and seemed devoid of desire to win.
So now, after all those victories, people expect history to repeat itself and Pacquiao to take care of business against Margarito. And no one would be surprised if he won. In fact, they see it as almost as inevitable as anything else in boxing.
But there are many reasons why Pacquiao could have a torrid time against Margarito this Saturday, November 13. After all, he will be facing a hungry fighter eager to reclaim his stake as one of boxing's best and put his disgraceful scandal behind him. And it's never a good idea to underestimate a former champion.
So here are 10 reasons why Manny Pacquiao could stumble, falter or even worse, lose against Antonio Margarito.