You are at your draft. You have the fourth pick. LaDainian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson, and Brian Westbrook fly off the board as the first three picks. You are trying to decide between Tom Brady, Joseph Addai, and Steven Jackson. You are tempted to grab Tom Brady. To get someone who produces so many points every week is hard to turn down. But you know running backs go fast, and that if you do not pick an elite back right now, you may pay for it later on. Good quarterbacks are available later in the draft. So you shift your focus to Joseph Addai. He was a monster in just his second year. He runs and catches the ball in one of the best offenses in the league. He seems on the brink of an amazing year. But then you think about Steven Jackson. He had a jaw-dropping 2006 year. If not for his terrible line last year, he probably would have been a great producer. He is the center of the Ram's offense, catching and running the ball extremely well. With an improved line and a new offensive coordinator that will constantly give him the ball, he seems ready to get back to 2006 form, or even better. So who do you choose? Addai or Jackson?
There are tons of tough choices in fantasy drafts. Cheat sheets don't help a lot when you are second guessing all the decisions you thought were easy heading into the draft. Circumstances change, and many things won't happen like you expect them to going in to the draft. Questions are everywhere. Who will slow down this year? Who will have a breakout season? Who will be a consistent producer? Who will be a bust? I cannot tell the future, and I don't have all the answers. Some things are just impossible to see coming. No one could have known Shaun Alexander would drop so low after two great seasons in 2005 and 2006. No one could have foretold that Ryan Grant would be the best fantasy running back in the second half of last season. Who could have known Adrian Peterson would lead fantasy running backs in the first half of the season? Who could have known Derek Anderson would become an elite quarterback?
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