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Ever have trouble trying to think of a title? No? OK, moving on... Every year, when the college season is in its embryo stage, we all do it. Predictions. We love to do it...

The Diamond-Covered Titanium Steel Airtight Locks of the SEC

by Justin Goar (Senior Writer)

66

1,287 reads

Preview/Prediction

August 19, 2008


Ever have trouble trying to think of a title?

 

No? OK, moving on...

 

Every year, when the college season is in its embryo stage, we all do it.

 

Predictions.

 

We love to do it.  Why?

 

Because we have just as good of a shot as anyone else, that’s why.  Guys who wear suits and sit in front of cameras or journalistic veterans who get paid for their opinions in print are probably getting these predictions right at the same clip as some of us.

 

This is what makes sports great.  In what other pastime do we spend as much time talking about something while waiting for it to happen?

 

There aren’t scrapbooking fantasy leagues or landscape photography pick’em contests, are there?

 

Might I remind everyone that the entire ESPN GameDay Crew picked Ohio State to beat LSU in last season’s BCS Final?

 

Did any of these guys lose their jobs because of failure to perform?  Of course they didn’t.

 

If there’s no harm in it for them, there’s certainly no harm in it for us.

 

So allow me to present my SEC locks for this season.  There are 12 games, one for each team in the SEC, and there’s a twist: I can’t pick the same losing team twice.  Meaning I can’t pick LSU losing to Florida and South Carolina as a lock—I can only pick LSU as a loser once.

 

On top of this, I actually tried to pick competitive games or even some mild upsets.  We all know UGA is going to destroy Central Michigan, so no need to have picks like that on here.

 

Finally, I am able to include non-conference opponents as the losing team, but they have to be decent non-conference opponents.

 

So here we go.  I know I’m on a limb with some of these, while some you might say are gimmes, but I’m trying to stay within my self-imposed format and not make easy picks.

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66 comments Last one added 9 months ago — Leave a Comment

  1. Ben White 10 months ago

    Some good predictions. I obviously disagree with the Bama over Auburn pick but I suppose I can forgive you. Who do you think will represent the West in the championship?

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      i have to go back and look at my schedule. i think division record is the first tie breaker. i don't remember who i have having the best div record.

      auburn would be in bad shape if they lose and it comes down to current BCS standings as a fresh loss might knock them in back of bama and LSU.

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  2. Rob Sansing 10 months ago

    I love the headline, BUT most of your guesses are hardly locks. I'll be surprised if you go 50-50.

    And you have a lot more confidence in John Parker Wilson than I do. I think Auburn will win again.

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  3. BabyTate 10 months ago

    You have many tough choices there. I'm shocked that you believe Carolina will beat Tennessee. I hope you're right. Carolina has got to get back into the Liberty Bowl this season and stop this backward slide of last year. I think these are are well thought out choices and another worthy article from a king SEC writer.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      thanks BT,

      yeah that was the point, to make my locks games that could be toss ups.

      i could've easily put all 12 teams beating up on vandy, UK, and ark but that wouldn't have been any fun.

      carolina has a chance to be 6-1 coming into the LSU game. alot of people seem to think that LSU may fall in columbia this year. if they can pull that off, they go into an off week with tenn, ark, UF, and clemson remaining (3 out of 4 toughies).

      i'm not saying they'll be in shape to compete for the east this year, but if they can win the important ones, they could be playing on a new year's day bowl. i'm not 100% sold on that though.

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  4. Chris Moeller 10 months ago

    I understand your gut feeling...but Auburn is undefeated at Tuscaloosa. It will happen, but not this year. Good picks though.

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  5. Timothy Croley 10 months ago

    While I wouldn't call a couple of these games "locks", I will say they are some pretty good picks, with a couple of gutsy ones thrown in. Good to see someone go out there on an article like this, knowing you might receive a lot of backlash.

    Also, with more and more people picking Bama to end the streak this year it has me wondering if they are seeing something I don't see or if they think Bama has finally come around to where they can actually compete in this game and have a shot at winning. Either way, I'm glad to see Bama getting a little more respect, especially from its foes.

    Keep up the good work. Another excellent article.

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  6. David Wunderlich 10 months ago

    Good picks. I especially like that you don't have anyone beating the Gators as a lock.

    And for the record, I see the LSU game as the highest likelihood of a Florida loss this season.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      if florida does lose, i don't really have a handle on who will beat them. i'd watch out though, if LSU does beat UGA, they may come in foucused in the WLOCP.

      i had the same feeling when y'all lost to AU and then had us. i thought there was no way y'all could lose. florida in that game had one of the best efforts by a losing team that i'd ever seen.

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    • David Wunderlich 10 months ago

      It was an unbelievable game. I hope we are lucky enough to see another one like it this season. With the final outcome reversed, of course...

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      unfortunately for me david i think we're looking more at a game like 06 and i'm really hoping not like one like from the 90's (with the exception of 97 of course).

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  7. shelby lundin 10 months ago

    Nice article Justin and at least you are alreday for what may be a 0-12 record, ot saying it will happen but you are nicely prepared!

    I also saw that you challenaged Lisa to a week of pick 'em...didn't get enough of getting beat by a woman last season???

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  8. Greg Paulin 10 months ago

    Georgia has beaten LSU by a combined 50 points the last two times the teams have played. Expect more of the same.

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  9. Michael 10 months ago

    Embarassing.. SC loses to Vanderbilt ONE TIME and its never forgotten... I hope that never happens again.

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  10. Justin Goar 10 months ago

    it was hard for me to find one for vandy. honestly if i did this on a confidence scale, this would be my least confident pick followed by the iron bowl followed by LSU-UGA.

    my three most confident would be UGA-ASU, LSU-UF, and MSU-GT.

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  11. Daniel Howie 10 months ago

    Great article! I like your gutsy predictions. Something odd and unexpected will happen this season. That's why it's called college football, and it's why I love it. :)

    I know another field that spends a lot of time talking about something while waiting for it to happen: meteorology. Not coincidentally, it's another field that you can remain employed even though you're wrong half the time.

    And I'd be careful with assuming Georgia destroys Central Michigan. I think they still will win, but LeFeveur is a good dual threat QB. He could keep it close for a while. In any case, it'll be good practice to get ready for Tebow.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      how did i miss meteorology???????!!!!!!

      i like your metaphor alot better.

      maybe sports analysts should predict the weather and weather men could predict sports for a week just to see what happens.

      i'd love to hear al roker's upset special and corso explaining a low pressure movement throughout the northeast.

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    • Daniel Howie 10 months ago

      Justin,
      ROTFL! And I'm work, so I had to stifle it quickly. It's easy for me to think of that field because that IS my field. I'd pay money to see Lee Corso in front of a green screen. Would he reach into his bag and put on a rain slicker when he predicts that it's going to rain? "Some others think that the clouds will leave the area Tuesday, but I say, 'Not so fast, my friend!' ...and the ratings soar through the roof.
      And you never know, Al Roker could follow sports pretty closely. I try to predict both, with about the same results.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      daniel,

      now that's funny, corso putting on the rain coat to make his prediction.

      i can picture it now, herbstreit says it'll be sunny and 75 and then all of a sudden corso whips out the rain gear and the audience boos and pelts him with golf balls and batteries.

      that would make the weather awesome to watch.

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    • Daniel Howie 10 months ago

      And the Gameday crew says that screen on the set is to help keep them dry. Ha! Now I know the real reason: to keep them from getting pelted with batteries.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      i'm very embarassed to say that LSU is one of the reasons they bring that screen with them.

      i don't know that for sure, but many years ago they came to LSU with no screen, two weeks later they had one and have it to this day.

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    • Daniel Howie 10 months ago

      Oh, I see. Well, as with most fan bases, you give them some time to drink alcohol, and they aren't as courteous to guests as they could be. I think that's a major reason people I know that were in the Pride of Oklahoma (the marching band) for the 2004 Sugar Bowl think LSU fans are the rudest they've ever met.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      luckily we've gotten to the point that for every bad story you hear about LSU fans, there are 10 good ones.

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  12. Michael Shibley 10 months ago

    Good picks Justin. As crazy as I think the SEC will be this year I won't be surprised if you get most of them correct.

    Of course I don't think that Carolina will beat UT right now, but once the season gets going who knows. The season is almost here...can't wait!

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  13. Evan Wiley 10 months ago

    1.Florida will beat LSU
    Not so sure...LSU is a trenches team through and through and regardless of who their Qb is as of late they've been good. Im not certain that the loss of perriloux is a big of a loss as people think it is given team dynamics. While Florida's O will be as good or better look for their D to be worse. I don't think it bodes well for florida at the moment

    UGA vs Arizona State
    The Sun Devils will be outmuscled at the line of scrimmage, and that will be the determining factor. You thought I was going to say SEC speed, didn’t you?

    UGA's D will have a marked advantage in the trenches...our O-line is questionable though.

    KY and Scar predictions
    Personally I don't see either team being as good as they were last year. Louisville won't be either. Vandy though will have improved some with some added experience. I'm not sure any of those games will end up mattering at all in the grand scheme of things.

    Alabama will beat Auburn
    if wilson fires on all cylindars maybe

    Auburn will beat West Virginia

    I dont think itll be as close as a field goal....I think auburn will have double digits on WV

    LSU will beat Georgia

    I'm giving UGA one loss this year and I cant figure out wheter itll be UF or LSU....but I've been concentrating my worries more and more on LSU and less and less on Florida.

    Ole Miss will beat Mississippi State
    I think Croom and Crew will pull off a win again...

    Mississippi State will beat Georgia Tech
    Right on there! The nerds are a VERY weak team this year, as in possibly sub 500. I think the other Dawgs have a great chance for holding the Nerds to 10 points or less

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    • Carson Howell 10 months ago

      Your wrong about FL defense being worse-mainly because they were just that bad last year-

      Meyer keeps talking about freshman standout Omar Hunter on the D-line along with returning starters Spikes and Cunningham who both had good seasons last year. Also didn't look like anyone could stop DE Justin Trattou in the orange and blue game.So there shouldn't be too many problems on the D-line.

      That wasn't the problem! as you know it was the secondary,but its looking like freshman Will Hill will end up with the starting safety job which would be interesting to see if he really is the best athlete out of high school.I'd love to see him turn into the next Reggie Nelson.Hey im an optimist.-but also despite pre-season injuries the secondary has plenty of talent in much-improved Pierre-Louis, head hunter Major Wright and Joe Haden who are all returning starters.I think its looking really good for the gators even if the defense improves .2% because they have the best offense in the country *UNDOUBTEDLY* and only lost to BSC champ LSU and powerful AUB by a combined total of 5 points so.....i guess we will see what happens

      TOO MANY WEAPONS OFFENSIVELY
      Tim "Uno Cinco" Tebow
      Percy "Have Mercy "Harvin
      Mr. 4.24 Chris Rainey
      Jeff Demps 10.1 100 meter fastest high shooler in the country 4.26 40
      Brandon James best return man in the country-hands down

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  14. Nic Gulas 10 months ago

    Of course I agree with the Bama prediction, and it makes it even better when all the Auburn fans get on here and start complaining about how it wont happen and blah blah blah. The Iron Bowl win is a good prediction, but the one I like the best is the 3-way tie for the SEC West.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      of course when i say that there will be a three way tie i'm saying the three will rock paper scissors each other.

      LSU will beat bama

      bama will beat AU

      AU will beat LSU.

      div record is the next tie breaker i think so LSU can't afford to drop a late season game to ole miss or ark and the state of alabama needs to tighten it up against miss st.

      i think the next tie break is BCS standings at which AU would be at a disadvantage losing last. it'll definitely be interesting but if it does come down to a tie bama's in great shape especially considering it wouldn't be crazy to see LSU drop the ole miss game.

      lastly about your AU comment, i'm sure any team with a passionate fan base will tell me they disagree with me picking against their team as i would think bama fans would have something to say if i flipped my iron bowl prediction. either way, i think the iron bowl will go back to its role of helping to determine the west champ this year.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      wait a minute did i just defend auburn fans???? i feel dirty.

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    • Ben White 10 months ago

      Don't feel dirty. You have absolved yourself of your sins and are now free to join the forgiven. Rise and walk with us a new man.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      ben,
      i dare not takes sides in this bama-auburn holy war.

      my brain might explode if i tried to drop the "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" postulate into the iron bowl.

      i have a healthy equal disdain for both sides and quite enjoy seeing each side ripping on each other.

      it's one of the reasons i want to attend the iron bowl but then i thought having one LSU fan surrounded by 100,000 AU and UA fans might get me killed.

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    • Nic Gulas 10 months ago

      Justin, just wear a neutral color like green to the game. No SEC team claims green, so that way you wont hurt anyone's feelings. Thats what I did in the Ole Miss/LSU SEC Baseball title game. Showed up in a Legends of the Hidden Temple Green Monkeys shirt.

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    • Ben White 10 months ago

      Yeah, probably would be a tough situation for you. My friend - a Tennessee fan - attended the Iron Bowl last year and he made it out OK. Of course, we were united by our hate of Alabama. It would depend on where the game was and the clothes you were wearing.

      I would gladly accept your application to join the "Auburn fans anonymous and only for this one day in history" club. You would be welcomed with open arms.

      And for the record Nic, you are the same type of fan you hate. Homerism and all. So am I. Don't get your crimson undies in a bunch so often.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      the curious side of me would take over and i would end up wearing an LSU shirt to conduct an experiment to see who treated me the worse. i'd be waaayy too stupid to wear a neutral color.

      what's the saying....curiosity killed the cat...maybe the first LSU fans who went to the Iron Bowl coined this.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      ben,

      for the record, i've been to each school once and had an equally good time at both.

      fans were friendly to us at both campuses, and both were gracious after their losses (AU 96 barn burner, bama 97).

      that was a pretty bad year for bama though so their fans were more defeated. heck they lost to la tech the week before. i would've much more like to attend the game last year or in 05. their stadium and gameday experience sounded awesome in t-town.

      we knew people at AU so that was a great time but there was only 3 LSU fans in our group.

      at bama we knew no one but there was 15 of us so we had a good time there too.

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  15. Justin Hokanson 10 months ago

    Good article, good predictions. Might be right on all of them, might also be wrong on all of them. That's the beauty of the SEC.

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  1. Burton DeWitt 10 months ago

    Vanderbilt is usually good for one of these a year. Unfortunately, this year this team (besides the secondary) is simply pathetic. Their secondary is the only reason I think they'll win one game (Rice), and even that I feel is a gutsy pick. This is the worst Vanderbilt side since the late-1980s. And that is saying something.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      burton,

      good point, you can always count on vandy to be scrappy especially on D. but i'm not so sure about this season. unless UK or ark tank it comepletely the dores will easily be the worst team in the sec.

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    • Burton DeWitt 10 months ago

      Yup. I'm glad you did not include Ole Miss. That team is going to challenge for 7 wins this year. Mississippi State has enough talent, but the schedule is too tough. I think another 7-win season for MSU should earn Croom coach of the year. It won't, but it should; that team will likely go 4-8 or 5-7.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      nutt was a great get for them and having snead under center is a big help. generally ole miss is good when they have a capable QB (i know that can be said for alot of teams tho).

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  2. Michael Bergman 10 months ago

    Yeah you're totally right, Texas Tech will continue to lose a couple of games they should win and dissapoint everyone that had them as a darkhorse.

    Wait... where am I?

    Toothless people everywhere. The smell of bbq but all I see is pulled pork sandwiches. Everyone's telling me how much better they are than me. Two pretty hot girls are making out without spilling either of their beers.

    Am I in another SEC discussion? Ahhhhhh!

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      c'mon michael,
      you and i are boys (sorta i guess).
      you know i'm not one to lay down the SEC trump card. it's just the conference i know, so i stick with it.

      plus you can't deny two chicks making out without spilling their beers takes some talent.

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  3. Michael Bergman 10 months ago

    If it's any consolation, UGA will totally kill ASU. Texas was bad last year and we destroyed them in our bowl game. It was like tackling dummies. I was literally afraid for Rudy Carpenter. And yes, I'm implying that UGA's defense was/is better than Texas' D. Now don't you dare tell any of these A-holes I'm surrounded by.

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    • Daniel Howie 10 months ago

      I agree with all that. The entire Texas offense was scoring at will, and then ASU put that backup QB in to make it a shootout. If ASU couldn't outscore Texas, they won't be able to outscore Georgia. The Bulldog defense will be the difference in the game.

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  4. Brett Moore 10 months ago

    Can't say I agree with your ASU-UGA pick. Not that you're not probably right, but reading it in print... well, as a longtime Sun Devil fan, I still like to thinki we've got a shot.

    It'll be a GOOD game! Really, it will! Watch and see! (Hope springs eternal.)

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      i'll always have a soft spot for ASU because of their actions after Katrina, they were gracious hosts and their student gov raised money for katrina relief and the ath dept (i think) donated a portion of tix sales for the game there in 05 as well.

      there isn't a team in the PAC 10 that i cheer for more than the sun devils. plus, who doesn't love rod tidwell's alma mater???

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  5. Michael Bergman 10 months ago

    Yeah we're boys. I just needed to talk, and no Big 12 guys have made an interesting article lately. I just wanted to joke around man. I love predictions, just can't really get behind or ...in front of? (whatever the opposite metaphor would be) any of them because it's SEC.

    Yes making out without spilling IS talent.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      the SEC isn't that bad, you make us sound like we're some kind of cult not happy until you believe what we believe.

      that's just ridiculous because a cult usually has a leader and we are run by the people. lol.

      i am however proud of the fact that anyone can make fun of:
      the way we talk
      our intelligence
      our school
      our women
      our fans
      our coaches
      our behavior
      our ardent defense of all things SEC
      etc etc etc

      but make fun of our tailgating (especially at LSU) and we are mortally offended.

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  6. Michael Bergman 10 months ago

    so you were offended by the pulled pork comment? Or wait, at LSU you probably have some really unique tailgating.

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      yeah i wouldn't go there with LSU fans, me included.

      you can say miles is an idiot and our team will win 5 games this year yada yada but don't knock our tailgating. i can't think of a bigger insult (at least for me).

      i think i've already invited you to come down and experience it. remember i'm an aggie hater and a closet UT fans.

      i've been other places, it's hard to find a better place than here. unique is a good word as well.

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  7. Brian Hood 10 months ago

    Justin, you make my sides hurt man. I could read your posts all day.
    I'm really scared about that trip to South Carolina, one of the most underrated venues in college football. I used to live just outside Columbia and when I lived there I found out their fans don't care what their record is, they will come out and support. And that "cock alarm" they play is just terrifying.

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  8. Brian Hood 10 months ago

    Justin, you make my sides hurt man. I could read your posts all day.
    I'm really scared about that trip to South Carolina, one of the most underrated venues in college football. I used to live just outside Columbia and when I lived there I found out their fans don't care what their record is, they will come out and support. And that "cock alarm" they play is just terrifying.

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  9. Michael Bergman 10 months ago

    It was more a commentary on the difference between Southern and Texas BBQ, than a knock on your tailgating. I know you guys kick butt in that, and I'm fine with it. LSU has a much different cuisine than the rest of the SEC I imagine.

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  10. Paul Miller 10 months ago

    i totally agree with the arkansas over kentucky pick...last year after kentucky had the big win against lsu they were embarassed by miss st. i could see kentucky finally taking down spurrier and then just folding against the hogs

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  11. john brewer 10 months ago

    okay buddy now give us the uga-fla winner

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  12. Donald Fincher 10 months ago

    "and we all know how much Darth Visor likes to beat the Volunteers."

    I don't know that he necessarily likes it so much anymore (given that he got very accustomed to it). But no one can deny that he is very good at it.

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  13. Robert 10 months ago

    Justin, did you leave off locks for the Vols?

    But hey, you're 2-0 as of now.

    After last night, Spurrier might be "retiring" pretty soon...

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    • Justin Goar 10 months ago

      wow, i'm not sure what happened. you're only person to catch that, i picked tenn to beat bama.

      when i have time i'll have to go edit.

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    • Robert 10 months ago

      Just trying to help...I am two weeks late on reading this.

      I won't hold it against you, I enjoy your work.

      Especially the "Diamond-Covered" part of the title...love that.

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  14. Justin Goar 9 months ago

    3 for 4. state has really tanked and ga tech is waaaaayyy better than i thought.

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