Roy Halladay: Hall of Famer?
Everyone knows by now about Roy Halladay’s 4-0 no-hit win over the Reds last night. So much has been written about the game that this might be a good time to consider Halladay’s credentials for the Baseball Hall of Fame.
Halladay, with 169 wins in 13 major league seasons, will be 34 next May and it is unlikely as of today that he will win 300 games, the usual benchmark that insures automatic induction into the Hall of Fame.
If Halladay wins at least 15 games a season the rest of his career and pitches through the age of 40, he would finish with 274 wins. If he were to win 18 games a season, assuming he pitches another seven seasons, he would finish with 295 wins.
Even if he were to win 20 games in each of those seven seasons he would have a career win total of 309, which is unlikely to happen even for Halladay.
If he doesn’t win 300 games, it may not matter as much by then, in this day of pitch counts, which sometimes takes a starting pitcher out of a game with a tie score preventing a chance for a win.
I once saw a game in the 60′s when Whitey Ford gave up 16 hits in a Yankees game with the Kansas City Athletics and still pitched a complete game loss.
Since that is not likely to happen in these days of high-salaried pitchers, it isn’t fair to expect Halladay to win 300 games to gain induction into the Hall of Fame.
Halladay posted a 18-17 record over his first four major league seasons from 1998-2001 then posted a 41-14 record over the 2002-2003 seasons.
He may have lost his chance for a 300-win career when he started 40 games total over the 2004 and 2005 seasons, while posting a combined 20-12 record.
Nobody has been better among active players than Halladay when it comes to finishing games. He leads all active pitchers with 58 complete games with C.C. Sabathia, at 29 the closest pitcher under the age of 30 who has 30 complete games but only has had two in each of the last two seasons.
Halladay almost certainly insured his induction into the Hall of Fame last night with the second no-hitter in postseason history which dates back to 1903. After having pitched a perfect game during the regular season Halladay has pitched a third of the six no-hitters thrown during the regular season and postseason.
Among Halladay’s credentials for Hall of Fame induction about 2025 or sooner depending on when he retires:
- 7 All Star games
- Cy Young Award in both leagues if he wins the NL award for this season
- Three-time 20 game winner
- 1714 strikeouts (set career highs in strikeouts in the last three seasons with 206, 208 and 219 so could have 3,000 strikeouts by the time he retires)
Halladay had a total of 379 strikeouts over the 2005-2007 seasons, but during the 2008-2010 seasons he has posted 633 strikeouts making him an even better pitcher by not allowing batters to make contact as often as in the past.
Unless Halladay has a serious injury or has several bad seasons we should see him making his acceptance speech in Cooperstown at some point in the middle 2020′s.
One last note about last night’s game: Halladay pitched his no-hitter against the NL leading Reds in runs with 790 and in batting average with a .272 mark, so he not only pitched a no-hitter in the postseason, but did it against the best hitting team in the NL.
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