Johan Santana: Hidden Cy Young

Daniel SmithCorrespondent IAugust 17, 2008

Johan Santana. Well what can I say? He has been everything a Mets fan has hoped for.

There have been so many haters of this trade right from the beginning. I heard comments like, “there go the Mets spending too much money on another player.” Or, “he will never be the same pitcher he was when he was with the Twins.”

Well this is what I say...HA, HA, HA.

Johan Santana, at this point in the season is 11-7 with a 2.75 ERA along with 148 strikeouts.

The first thing that jumps to my mind is, WOW, great ERA, especially in a game that pitchers can barely keep their ERA under the mid threes. But let’s not forget the Mets are playing like they are supposed to play ever since the firing of Willie Randolph. Before that and even since, Johan has been getting terrible run support.

In Johan’s last 10 starts, he is 6-4, which is good but not great. But when you look at how many runs he gave up in those losses, the real shocker comes in. In his four losses, in order he has given up: 3, 2, 2, 1. Are you kidding me! Your ace is on the mound and you can’t score more than three runs?

If the Mets hit anywhere close to where they're supposed to in those losses he is easily 10-0 in his last 10 games! So, that would make him 15-7 with an ERA around 2.60 to 2.75. But wait were not done...

Let’s count from his first start of the season to his first game of his last 10 starts.

Johan, at that point, was 9-7 once again which is OK, but not great. But let’s check out how many runs he gave up in these losses in order: 1, 4, 3, 1, 0, 4, 1. All I can say is, WOW.

The man only gave up one run in three out of seven losses with a zero in the mix. Bottom line is that Johan should be around 20-5 to 20-6 with an ERA of around 2.50 to 2.75.

That easily puts Johan in the driver’s seat for the NL Cy Young award. Given the fact that he plays in New York and plays in a very competitive division, I think he would be a lock. The problem is the Mets played like paper champions for half the season and now have had to play catch up. So when you see people knocking Johan, tell them what I have told you today.

Tell them to look at his statistics, not just his win-loss total. Then tell me he has not pitched like a Cy Young pitcher. Go Mets.