The NFL Hedge Fund: Week 14 Best Bets

Matt MoscardiAnalyst IDecember 6, 2007


The football Black Box generates top five picks weekly for spreads and moneylines.

Note that "Bet Soon" indicates a pushable spread, and "x2!" indicates a double bet.

Here are the top five:

Spread Bets

1. SD Pick'em v. TEN Away
2. ARI +7 v. SEA Away - Bet Soon
3. PIT +10 v. NE Away - Bet Soon
4. STL +6.5 v. CIN Away
5. KC +6.5 v. DEN Away

Moneyline Bets 

1. NO -220 v. ATL @Home 
2. WAS -160 v. CHI Away 
3. CLE -165 v. NYJ @Home 
4. TB -150 v. HOU @Home 
5. PHI -140 v. NYG Away 

The current Box algorithm has returned the following in the last two seasons:

Buy In:$100.00 Weeks With  
Balance:$2,474.43 >50% Returns: 16
$s Bet:$5,022.68  
Payouts:$7,397.11 Weeks With  
% Return:2374.43% <0% Returns: 4
2006 Ret:912.84%  
2007 Ret:1461.59%  

For more information, including suggested dollar amounts, go to Mental Handicap, the daily NFL betting blog.