If Tiger Woods had hit the shot that Matt Kuchar hit last Sunday on the first playoff hole, we would STILL be watching it on ESPN…
What a fantastic finish for Matt Kuchar and a devastating end for Martin Laird last week. It was probably one of the best tournaments of the year, made especially awesome by Matt Kuchar securing us a 42:1 payback with his win.
He was truly very due for a victory.
This week we head to my back yard at TPC Norton for the Deutsche Bank Championship. The field is down to 100 players, and we have some tremendous value still left on the board to pick from.
Yahoo Fantasy Update
MY POINTS: 4720
Start: Steve Stricker
Sit: Tiger Woods
Start: Dustin Johnson and Sean O’ Hair
Sit: Jim Furyk and Camilo Villegas
Start: Paul Casey
Sit: Justin Rose
Before we dive into the six-pack, here are some honorable mentions for this week: Donald 40:1, Palmer 100:1, Sabbatini 80:1, Taylor 80:1, Villegas 50:1.
I wonder how many travel alarm clocks Jim Furyk received in the mail last week. You know, the old kind that don’t plug into anything; you actually have to wind them up for them to work.
I digress, as I actually did feel bad for the guy. I mean, he showed up with no belt on and his shoes untied trying to make his tee time, for crying out loud.
Jim almost was in the six-pack last week. This week, I think he shows up at TPC Boston and plays lights out.
Furyk has had a decent history here on this course, with some nice finishes like seventh, eighth, and 13th. He has also been playing great as of late, notching two top-ten placements in his last five events.
Furyk has won twice this year, and I think his game fits TPC Norton to a tee.
Look at these numbers for Furyk:
- 12th in Driving Accuracy
- Seventh in Scoring Average
- Still third in FedEx Cup Playoff Points
- 24th in Scrambling
Jim Furyk is my No. 1 prospect to win this week. At 25:1 odds for a two-time winner this year, you are getting great value.
I really liked Paul last week, and I am sticking with him this week.
He ended up finishing in a tie for 12th at The Barclays, and there is no reason he doesn’t carry that momentum right into Boston.
Casey is truly a world-class talent, who shockingly was not a captain’s pick for the Ryder Cup team. That is a good thing if you are rooting for the Americans this year. It may prove to be a bad thing for Colin Montgomerie, when Paul Casey ends up hoisting a trophy over his head on Sunday.
Casey’s last five events have been fantastic showings, except for one missed cut. In 11 cuts made this year, ten of them were in the top 25.
Here are some numbers on Casey:
- Eighth in Scoring Average
- Eighth in All-Around Ranking
- 23rd in FedEx Cup Playoff Points
- 13th in Par Breakers
At 33:1, there are not many better all-around golfers than Paul Casey, so sign me up.
It looks as though the sports books have gotten wise to Jason Day's recent play. He had some problems earlier in the year (although winning the HP Byron Nelson Classic wasn't one of them) but seems to have made the necessary corrections.
In Jason's last five events he has finished 15th, CUT, 22nd, tenth, and fifth. He is certainly trending up and playing outstanding golf right now.
Day also finished tied for 19th here last year.
Look at some of Day's digits:
- 15th in Driving Distance
- 14th in FedEx Cup Playoff Points
- Ninth in Par-Three Performance
- Fifth in Putting from 20-25 Feet
I love Jason Day at 40:1 odds this week.
Justin Rose has been bouncing between fantastic finishes and missing the cut recently. By looking at his pattern, you would see he is due to miss a cut, but I think he will break that pattern this week.
Rose has a keen eye for TPC Norton. He has finished third and fourth here.
I think that with some playoff implications on the line, combined with him also being shunned by Colin Montgomerie for a spot on the Ryder Cup team, he will be inspired to show that he can be a three-time winner on the PGA Tour in one season.
Look at what Rose brings to the table:
- Third in Scoring Average
- 17th in Sand Saves
- Fourth in Fed Ex Cup Playoff Points
- 13th in Putts Per Round
- Eighth in Par Four Performance
At 50:1 odds, you are getting tremendous value with one of the best golfers in the world.
Like Rose, Sean O' Hair has an eye for TPC Norton. He has finished 15th, ninth, and eighth in the past three years.
It looks like each year he gets just a little bit better here.
O' Hair has also been bouncing between great finishes and missing the cut as of late. Also like Rose, he is due to miss the cut, but I again think that this course is not where Sean will miss the cut. I see him playing very well here this week.
Here are some numbers to consider:
- 27th in Scoring Average
- 35th in FedEx Cup Playoff Points
- Fourth in Scrambling Inside of 40 Yards
Sean O' Hair is very due for a win and I love the value with him at 40:1 odds.
His new nickname is going to be “The Long Shot Kid.”
He is in the field, so again, he is in the six-pack.
Though he has not been playing fantastic lately, he is making cuts. If he can minimize some of his silly mistakes, he very well could be in contention.
We all know Rickie is my flyer pick every week, and I am continuing the trend. He is 80:1 this week, so throw a few bucks on him.