UFC 118: Predictions: Freakshows and Lightweights

Jon LeeCorrespondent IAugust 26, 2010

PORTLAND, OR - AUGUST 29:  UFC fighter Antonio Nogueira (L) battles UFC fighter Randy Couture (R) during their Heavyweight bout at UFC 102:  Couture vs. Nogueira at the Rose Garden Arena on August 29, 2009 in Portland, Oregon.  (Photo by Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images)
Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images

Welcome back for a round of what's most likely going to be almost completely wrong predictions for Saturday night.

If I was still gambling, I'd probably go against my picks every time and CLEAN up. I'm pretty excited about UFC 118, even though the card is less than overwhelming. I think it's going to be a spectacle, and I'm 100 percent convinced there will be some James Toney related drama before, during, or after the fight.

It will also be an interesting night for the Lightweight division with a No. 1 contender fight and a title rematch. Personally I like watching the smaller guys fight, as they tend to be faster paced, and more exciting.

Hopefully UFC 118 won't disappoint.

On with the predictions.

I'm going to start with my choice for fight of the night.


Nate Diaz vs. Marcus Davis

I think this will be interesting because both guys like to stand and trade, and I'm expecting a pretty good show.

Plus, I'm giddy with excitement at the prospect of watching a Diaz brother get punched in the face. Seriously, those guys are lucky professional fighting exists or they would be in jail for sure.

But I digress.

Prediction: Nate Diaz by TKO Third Round


Gray Maynard vs. Kenny Florian

This should be another interesting fight. The big question here is whether or not Kenny Florian can stop the wrestling of Gray Maynard.

I think Florian has a marked edge in stand up, especially with his kicks. Plus, Florian has been submiting to guys recently like Takanori Gomi.

But Maynard is a an elite wrestler with a lot of power, and a great chin.

Prediction: Kenny Florian by Decision


James Toney vs. Randy Couture

Welcome to the freakshow part of our fight card. This is being marketed as "Boxing vs. MMA," but in reality its two old guys clinging on to their careers. 

James Toney is no longer a serious boxer, even though he owns some off-brand Championship Belt from a federation no one cares about.

Randy Couture is 47 years old. He is LITERALLY old enough to have a son who fights professionally. Randy Couture is no longer relevant, as evidenced by his recent fighting style, which led me to nickname him, "The Security Guard," because in his last few fights he literally holds people against the cage like he's waiting for the cops to come arrest a couple of kids stealing CDs.

Prediction: Couture by Submission First Round(Followed by an in-ring brawl or some such James Toney insanity post bell)


BJ Penn vs. Frankie Edgar

This is a serious fight.

The last time these two fought, Frankie Edgar fought arguably the fight of his career against an out of shape, and apathetic BJ Penn. Edgar won a close decision, which was considered a massive underdog. The fight was made into a good story by some people, and a major robbery by others.

Either way, both of these guys are coming into this fight with a chip on their shoulders.

Frankie Edgar wants to prove his first win wasn't a fluke and that his hands and speed can bother BJ again.

BJ wants to prove that he could have won the first fight by decisively finishing Edgar in this fight.

I think the first fight was exactly the style Edgar needs to win the rematch. However, I don't see him being able to put it together again against a motivated and in shape BJ Penn.

Prediction: BJ Penn by submission Second Round


That will wrap up my predictions, feel free to leave comments in the section below to tell me how awesome or stupid I am :)