I was one of the few people who predicted that Chael Sonnen would defeat Anderson Silva at UFC 117. Although I ended up losing my bet with just moments left to go in the 5th and final round, I am convinced that Sonnen will walk away with a win in the rematch. Here's why.
Reason #1: Ya gotta have heart.
For whatever reason, Anderson Silva's heart just isn't in it anymore. Not only was this evident in the last bout against Sonnen, it showed in Anderson's unprofessional antics versus Demian Maia. Chael Sonnen, on the other hand, is nothing but heart. And heart is half the battle.
Reason #2: When fighting a wrestler...
We all know that Silva doesn't want to go to the ground. This became apparent back when Spider faced Forrest Griffin and kept motioning for him to stand. As we saw in Sonnen's last fight, Anderson had no answer for his take downs. And if he hasn't worked on his sprawl in a whole decade of professional fighting, he probably has a limited chance of picking it up in just a few short months.
Reason #3: Gettin' Old...
It's true. At the age of 35, Silva may only be a couple years older than Chael Sonnen. But, despite what we saw on August 7th, he is a bit too old to be used as a human punching bag. Sonnen is relentless and will come out swinging for the fences. He's also very good at using angles and moving laterally. If Sonnen's wrestling doesn't take Silva to the ground, his punches certainly will.
Reason #4: Sonnen: New and Improved.
We all know what happened the first time. Sonnen got tired. Why? Because this was the first time in his thirteen years of fighting that he made it into the 5th round. But now that he's done it, the second time will be much easier--and he'll be unlikely to make rookie mistakes so close to victory.
Reason #5: Sonnen is in Silva's head.
Who's the last person the Spider lost to? Yushin Okama. This was back in January 2006. Silva actually has four losses on his record and has pretty much destroyed everybody else. Has he ever rematched anybody he's lost to? No. Although he did defeat Chael Sonnen, this rematch will be the first time in Anderson Silva's career that he'll have to face someone who basically dominated him.
I think Sonnen takes it. What do you think?