Fity Cent Pick 4 at Del Mar With Marc Doche: Four O'Clock Friday
Day two of the Del Mar meet provides a nice score in the Pick 4 for yours truly.
Let’s see if we can do it again on the first Four O’Clock Friday of the summer.
We’re off to the races!
Leg 1 – Race 5 (5,7,9) – A lot of horses dropping in class in this $50K claiming sprint for older males, many of whom are being offered up for a tag for the first time.
With two wins and two seconds in six starts over the track and a bullet work here just three days ago, #5 Big Bad Leroybrown has a big shot from off the pace. He hasn’t been seen in a claiming race since last June at Hollywood Park and hasn’t won since last August here at Del Mar, but even the works before the bullet whisper ready and he is definitely capable of crossing the wire first. Must note that both Joel Rosario and Tyler Baze pass here and Joe Talamo climbs aboard.
#7 Mr. Monkey Jones won his only race over the track, and if you throw out his two turf efforts and his try over the bull ring at Fairplex, he has yet to run a bad race. While many of the other horses in the field have shown they don’t like to win, he has five wins in 12 starts. However, the gap in works and slow works after, along with facing his elders in Southern California for the first time, are a concern.
Since I have some knocks on my top two selections, I’ll begrudgingly include likely favorite #9 Bestdressed. He’s one of the ones that aren’t too keen on winning, but he has been knocking on the door against better and switching to Rafael Bejarano might be the key. He’s run well over the track, but he’s still looking for his first win here after two seconds and two thirds in six starts.
Leg 2 – Race 6 (1,11) – Inside, outside here. #1 Lunada Bay draws perfectly for his front-running style and could take them all the way, stretching out to two turns for the first time.
#11 Camp Victory draws in and is a three-time winner, while all others running have only won once. If Bejarano can get him over from the outside post he can sit off Lunada Bay and get first run on the closers. His wins came against weaker competition, but two of them came on the turf and he has been close against good horses, including losing by under three lengths last time in the Grade 3 Will Rogers at Hollywood Park.
I’m not buying with #7 Dave in Dixie and he will be over bet based off the races he’s coming out of.
Leg 3 - Race 7 (3,7,10,11,12) – The $100,000 CTBA stakes failed to attract any of the top two-year-old fillies in training, and includes three maidens.
#3 Miss Reditore was visually impressive in her only start at Hollywood Park after shipping in from Arizona, although the field she beat wasn’t much. She has trained consistently since and has a three furlong spin over this track.
#7 Deo’s Secret comes from the barn low percentage trainer Daniel Dunham, but she does get Rosario and has improved steadily in all three starts.
#10 Swiss Wildcat and #11 Hi Ho Yodeler for trainer Mike Harrington come out of the same two stakes races at Hollywood Park, including the Landaluce just 12 days ago. They both gave fairly even efforts in those races, which did include the best two-year-old fillies we’ve seen thus far.
#12 Social Event also won impressively in her debut after breaking poorly from the inside and making up a lot of ground coming from last place. She gets off the rail and can make further improvement here.
Leg 4 – Race 8 (3,6,7,9) – #7 Big Wags faces tougher in his last two and has finished second or third in his last five races. He’s a logical contender from off the pace.
#9 Titus Aurelius is also a contender and will likely get first jump on Big Wags. He missed by just half a length and was claimed at this level two back. He also gets Rosario for the first time.
#3 D’oro Dancer has stopped badly in all five career starts, but this should be the first time he gets a clear lead going one turn. Kathy Walsh hits with 32 percent of horses moving to her barn for the first time and there’s a steady work tab including a bullet to cap it off.
#6 Yvett’s Maar is the potential bomb. Trainer Sal Gonzalez ran second in yesterday’s finale with a long shot first-time starter that showed a similar work tab.
Recap – (5,7,9) w (1,11) w (3,7,10,11,12) w (3,6,7,9) – Total cost of ticket = $60
Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches.
Yesterday’s Result – (+$231.85)
Total for meet – (+$183.85)
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