Tim Tebow Boom Or Bust
Tim Tebow is often marked as a boom or bust pick. Ibelieve this is completely stupid. Let us be clear Tim Tebow was the best college quarterback in years, maybe ever, but he is not going to be an NFL superstar. In other words the only way he is getting into the Hall of Fame is by paying admission.
However he does have a chance to be a soolid NFL quarterback. Imagine a game manager a Kerry Collins or Jake Dellhome. He can probably have 15 to 17 passing Touchdowns a year, plus a few running ones, he will however probably never get above 3000 yards passin or 20 TD's. Just imagine watered down Steve Mcnair.
Now does that sound like a boom to you? No, that sounds like a good solid QB, a pretty successful late round draft pick.
On the other hand he could be a bust. Let us not forget he has a bad throwing motion, he doesnt take snaps from under center, and he ran a non pro-style offense. He could be horrible or possibly never even play.
But wait you say Tim Tebow was an all american he must be good he can do it on the next level no problem. That is a bad argument, in fact QB's on all american teams have a relatively low success rate. How low 4 out of 10 3 of 9. Wrong the success rate of all american QB's between 1999 and 2003 is 2 out of 14.
One is Carson Palmer the other is Micheal Vick. so you could argue that there is a 1 out of 14 success rate depending on your feelings towards the dog killer, excuse me Micheal Vick.
These two have been pretty successful they have gone to 5 pro bowls and set team records.
Everyone else on this list stunk badly (except Antwaan Randel El) but he has had success as a WR. And as far as super bowls among these players only Rex Grossman has been to one, and he is the reason they lost.
So the all america college success argument does not work sorry Timmy.
So we have two options here good game manager with successful career, or Danny Wuerfall the sequel.
Either way it's nota very smart pick. The risk does not outway the reward. The picks the Broncos gave up could have been used to get players that could contribute immeadiately. Instead they take a risk on a project player who does not have a very high ceiling.
This is not boom or bust, this is good pick or crash and burn. Besides they had Jay Cutler, a pro bowler, they tried to trade him for a one year wonder, Mark Cossel wasn't it. Dumb idea, Tebow cannot replace Cutler. Welcome to the dark ages Denver.
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