Early Predictions For The Tar Heels In 2010-2011
College basketball is over for yet another year. Now it is time for the basketball gurus to make their predictions for next season. Granted, these predictions do not mean much, but they can depress or excite the fan in withdrawal.
The results from most predictions have the Heels in the middle of the top-25. For example, Andy Katz has already taken a look at next year. The results may not be what Tar Heel fans wanted to hear. He has the Heels at #19 in his first projection. Of course, this does not take into consideration what may happen with Ed Davis.
Andy Katz main reason for the Heels being that low is their unproven guard play. That is the key that will keep UNC down in the preseason polls.
What are my thoughts on the Heels being that far down?
The Heels are being ranked low because the media does not want to make the same mistake two years in a row. The team is unproven. There is talent on the roster, but players like Tyler Zeller and the Wear brothers have the injury bug. Both Wear’s were injured this past season, and David Wear had a major season-ending injury. Without Zeller, and if Davis leaves, the frontcourt would be shallow and weak.
Another reason is the ACC is not receiving much respect due to the massive coaching changes and the players leaving for the NBA. The ACC does not have many proven teams going into the next season. The only two ACC teams in Katz’ very early predictions are UNC and Duke despite the ACC having produced the last two champions.
The lack of respect for the ACC does not bode well for the Tar Heels pre-preseason rankings. It will bring down UNC’s stock.
On the other hand having a down stock may not be such a bad thing. Their stock was very high this year, and we all saw what happened.
Next year, they may be able to pull from the middle of the pack, similar to what Duke did this year, and win a championship. If not, they can still achieve great things.
North Carolina basketball will always be North Carolina basketball. Despite a down year, next year will bring much excitement and winning. The gurus will be predicting for now, but we will see where UNC is at during March next year.
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