Cooking in the Desert: Subway Fresh Fit 500 Fantasy Advice
Name: Phoenix International Raceway
Race Date: April 10, 2010
Location: Avondale, AZ
Length: one mile
Banking in turns one and two: 11 degrees
Banking in turns three and four: nine degrees
Banking on the frontstretch: three degrees
Banking on the backstretch: nine degrees
Grandstand Seats: 76,800
Tickets/track info: http://www.phoenixraceway.com/ or (623) 463-5400
April Winner: Mark Martin
Martin stopped Johnson’s dominance last year as he led the most laps (157) to become the oldest Cup Series winner (age 50) since 1993. This was also his first win since 2005 and his first win with Hendrick Motorsports (HMS), previewing what his time at HMS would consist of.
1. Mark Martin
2. Tony Stewart
3. Kurt Busch
4. Jimmie Johnson
5. Greg Biffle
6. Denny Hamlin
7. Martin Truex Jr.
8. David Reuitmann
9. Sam Hornish Jr
10. Carl Edwards
November Winner: Jimmie Johnson
Johnson resumed his dominance as he led 238 of the 312 laps to help in securing his fourth championship in a row.
Driver Rating from 2009 Subway Fresh Fit 500
NASCAR.com has a driver rating system that is supposed to help in picking who is a good fantasy choice. Their formula combines the following categories: wins, finishes, top 15 finishes, average running positions while on lead lap, average speed under green, fastest lap, most laps led and lead-lap finish. The maximum points one driver can obtain for one race is 150 points.
For more specific information and further understanding, please visit nascar.com.
Here are the top 10 drivers and their ratings following the 2009 Subway Fresh Fit 500
1. Mark Martin with 145.6
2. Kurt Busch with 124.7
3. Tony Stewart with 121.0
4. David Reuitmann with 107.8
5. Greg Biffle with 106.6
6. Jimmie Johnson with 104.5
7. Kyle Busch with 101.5
8. Denny Hamlin with 98.7
9. Martin Truex Jr. with 96.9
10. Jeff Gordon with 92.9
If it isn’t obvious already, Johnson is the driver to beat at Phoenix as he leads all drivers there in wins. In his last five starts there, Johnson has four wins and a fourth place finish.
In comparing Johnson to his fellow active drivers at Phoenix, he has the highest average finish (5.1) with a total of four wins, eight top fives and 11 top 10s in 13 starts.
When you look at the flat tracks overall, Johnson ranks highest in earning points when all seven races are totaled (1,143) last year with an average finish of 5.6, four top fives and six top 10s.
The only driver who has been able to stop Johnson from going to victory lane is Martin, as he won last April. Martin also has the most experience of any of the active drivers with 26 starts so experience is not a question.
In comparing Martin to his fellow active drivers at Phoenix, he has the second highest average finish (8.8) with a total of two wins, 11 top fives and 17 top 10s in 26 starts.
When you look at the flat tracks overall, Martin ranks second highest in earning points when all seven races are totaled (1,108) last year with an average finish of 6.9, four top fives and five top 10s.
Statistically, Hamlin is the closest driver to the Hendrick duo when looking at average finishes. Though it’ll be interesting in how he runs coming off of the knee surgery that he had last Wednesday.
In comparing Hamlin to his fellow active drivers at Phoenix, he has the third highest average finish (9.6) with a total of five top fives and six top 10s in nine starts.
When you look at the flat tracks overall, Hamlin ranks ninth highest in earning points when all seven races are totaled (923) last year with an average finish of 14.1, three top fives and four top 10s.
Stories to Watch
Spoiler—Aerodynamics aren’t something that affects short track races, though is slightly more important at Phoenix. The preview of what the spoiler has in store will continue this weekend and if Martinsville was a start, then we’re in for a show.
Denny Hamlin—As stated above, Hamlin had surgery on his knee last Wednesday. The questions begin now if he can withstand the pain to run the full race and if he does run the full race, how well he’ll run. If Hamlin cannot run the full race, Casey Mears will be on standby.
Thanks to Athlon Sports and Sporting News 2010 Preview Magazines for the stats
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