Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds & Pick: April 3rd 2010

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks
Free NBA Pick: Under 195.5 -110 odds
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With playoff seeding on the line in the Western Conference, look for both the Mavs and Thunder to be giving their best efforts defensively Saturday. The last 4 meetings in this series have all seen less than 200 combined points with 185, 197, 186 and 183 in the last 4 meetings, respectively. Both teams have stepped it up defensively over their last 5 games. The Thunder are allowing 93.6 PPG over their last 5, while Dallas is giving up 96.6 PPG and 42.1% shooting in their last 5. Dallas even had to go to overtime in one of those five contests, so their average allowed in regulation is actually lower. The UNDER is 4-0 in the Mavs’ last 4 home games, and the UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in this series overall.

This play also falls under a system that is 40-15 (73%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in April games. Another system it falls under is 278-174 (62%) to the UNDER since 1996. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (DALLAS) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in April games. This is the time of year where all of these playoff teams really start getting after it on the defensive end, as we all know that most teams like to just go through the motions at certain points earlier in the season. The effort on the defensive end will be there tonight. Bet the UNDER.