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2008 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs

Football ManiaxsJul 10, 2008

By Chad Samuels & Antonino Buccellato from Fantasy Football Maniaxs.com

In standard fantasy football leagues, the position that makes the most impact on a roster is the running back. There is a trend, started not too long ago, in the NFL for teams to establish a running back by committee.

With improved conditioning and sports medicine, players can play at a higher level longer, and with the influx of young talent, there are many viable running backs for teams to utilize.

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This limits their touches through the season and prolongs their careers. There can be gems found in these committees if you know where to look.

With the emergence of the RBBC, running backs aren't racking up fantasy points as they used to. That's not to say that all teams do that; each team is different, but you have to analyze their situation.

With the decline of the RB's fantasy points, you have an emergence of WRs.Ā 

Wide receivers stocks have risen because teams that practice RBBC find WRs more active and open in the red zone. As such, wide receivers should receive higher picks than their typical third-or-fourth-round-and-later picks they historically receive.

You can still draft good running backs past the first round. When you factor in the wide receiver run in the third round, there will be value at the running-back position after round two and into round four.

We ranked the top-44 running backs. The entire Maniaxs’ staff compiled their own rankings, assigning 44 points to a No. 1 rank down to assigning one point to a No. 44 rank. We averaged the points to determine the final ranks you’ll see below.

As always, we Maniaxs take the integrity of this task seriously and no craziness occurred during the ranking process.Ā 

NOTE: These rankings are for seasonal/re-draft leagues only! They're not intended for keeper or dynasty leagues.

As usual, we have provided a table/grid and a downloadable PDF document at the bottom of the article for your upcoming fantasy drafts.Ā  Ā 

1. LaDainian Tomlinson

This ranking is normally reserved for the No. 1 pick in the draft. You want someone who will put up stud points and not burn you. He comes with consistency and a track record of plenty of multiple touchdown games. The Chargers OL finished tied for second in rushing TDs, and seventh in rushing yards last year.

Tomlinson opens the season by facing soft run-defenses like Carolina, Denver, Jets, Oakland, and Miami. Tomlinson is nearing 30, but has one more season left in the tank as an elite back. In the seasonal format, L.T. received all but one first-place vote and still towers over the other RBs for the upcoming season.Ā  Ā  Ā 

2. Adrian Peterson

ā€œPurple sensationā€ was the only other player to receive a first-place vote. There is little to not like about Adrian Peterson. He is a touchdown machine, and in his first year in the league, has wrestled the bulk of the carries away from Chester Taylor.

When on the field, you cannot go wrong playing him. Running behind OLs Matt Birk, Bryant McKinnie, and Steve Hutchinson will certainly help, as the Vikings led the league in rushing yards, yards per carry, and rushing touchdowns in 2007.

In 2008, the Vikings have the sixth-best SOS for RBs, a positive sign for Peterson’s owners. Two things keep Peterson from claiming the top spot in our rankings.

The first is consistency. He has played only one season in the NFL, though we do not predict him to drop drastically in production. There is some extra risk in taking a player who has had only one good season.

The second concern is injuries. For the last three seasons (one NFL, and two college) Mr. Peterson has missed time due to injury. If you take AP, we advise handcuffing Chester Taylor to him for this reason.Ā Ā Ā  Ā  Ā 

3. Brian Westbrook

Westbrook’s age and injury concerns scare people away from him. We are telling you to not be afraid. Westbrook does not reach 30 years of age until the playoffs. Therefore, he will be reliably safe for seasonal formats. Brian also played 15 games each of the last two seasons.

The addition of change-of-pace back Lorenzo Booker indicates that Brian should remain healthy this season. Westbrook is a rushing and receiving threat. He is also the best player on the Eagles. Westbrook should again match 1,800+ all-purpose yards and 10+ touchdowns.

One concern is their SOS, which is 25th in the league for RBs, but with their good OL, that was good for eighth in rushing yards and second in yards per carry, at 4.7, last season. Westbrook can once again excel. Ā  Ā Ā 

4. Steven Jackson

Steven Jackson tied with Joseph Addai in our scoring system. Really, you cannot go wrong with any of our top five. Jackson gets the edge here because he rushed for just over 1,000 yards last year in only 12 games. This includes an injury-depleted offensive line that should see the return of Orlando Pace.

We feel the cobbled OL is the reason for his drop in touchdown production from 16 to six. We expect that total to rise significantly in 2008, as the line gets its starters back, making Jackson a good fantasy points generator again.Ā  Ā 

5. Joseph Addai

We see Addai’s scoring similar to last year, with 1,000-1,200 rushing yards and 15+ TDs. He plays for one of the best offenses in the league and is a good receiving back, as his 41 catches for 364 yards in ’07 will show. Do not worry about the Colts clinching too soon. With Jacksonville competing for the division title, there will be plenty of reasons to keep him and the other Colts in the lineup.

Also, for seasonal owners, tough defenses can sometimes surprise. Addai plays Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Detroit in the fantasy playoff weeks of 13, 14, and 15 respectively. Ā  Ā 

6. Clinton Portis

Clinton proved he could stay healthy last year by playing in all 16 games. He is currently hurt, but is expected to be ready to go by training camp. Clinton will get a lot of carries this season, so do not be surprised if he does not participate a lot in training camp. This will keep him fresh.

Expect Portis to have a better year than in 2007, as he should be targeted more in the West Coast passing game. The Redskins are getting O-linemen Jon Jansen and Randy Thomas back from injures, a good indication that bigger running lanes are on the horizon for Portis.Ā  Ā  Ā 

7. Marion Barber

Barber will be the man in Dallas. He is still capable of a 16-TD season and posting over 1,000 yards for the first time in his career. Let other people have concerns over Felix Jones stealing carries. His large contract insures he will see a lot of work this year. The addition of Jones should help keep Barber from wearing down during the season. Ā  Ā 

8. Ryan Grant

Some people will shy away from Ryan Grant because of his contract situation and the fact that Brandon Jackson is doing well in OTAs, and Grant just burst on the scene out of nowhere. For the last 10 games, Grant rushed for 929 yards and scored eight TDs. Projecting that out for a 16-game season that would be 1,486 yards and 12 TDs!

He is also still in Green Bay. Even with Rodgers at the helm, Green Bay still should be one of the top offenses in the NFL. We think Grant will offer great productivity at the end of round one. Ā  Ā 

9. Larry Johnson

Larry is an excellent candidate for comeback player of the year. Kansas City upgraded their offensive line in the offseason by drafting Brandon Albert. He also should see a full training camp and be ready to go at the start of the season. Herm Edwards has already stated that Larry is going to have his workload reduced this season.

Where that is normally a concern, Larry did break an NFL record for carries in a single season in 2006. Look for Johnson’s attempts to be more in line with other backs in the NFL this season. Factor in that the Chiefs have the second best SOS for RBs in the league this year, and Johnson gets a vote of confidence to be a top-10 back once more.Ā Ā  Ā  Ā 

10. Frank Gore

Frank is another back who had a less-than-stellar 2007 because of injuries. Still, Frank is young enough to bounce back. DeShaun Foster should be a backup back only. Do not worry about a committee that will hinder Gore’s production.

Gore’s receiving stats should rise with the addition of Mike Martz as OC. That will offset Martz’s tendency to pass more than he should. We still think Frank will surpass 1,000 rushing yards and 10 total TDs.

11. Brandon Jacobs

Brandon was a 1,000-yard rusher, despite starting only nine games and playing in 11. He is a big, bruising back who, if he can stay moderately healthy, will break 1,000 yards again. After all, he plays on a N.Y. Giants team that finished fourth in rushing last season.

With his size, he should get solid goal-line touches. In addition, his four rushing TDs last year should be a statistical aberration. Brandon is not fragile, but running people over does tend to cause injuries. For this, his value will drop.

Do not let injuries deter you from him though. He is in a contract year and will have plenty of motivation to do well. Expect solid numbers when he plays and plan on him missing a few games.

12. Maurice Jones-Drew

Maurice is embroiled in a RBBC. That most likely will not change this year or next. Fred Taylor will get significant yards, and Maurice will be hard pressed to gain 1,000 yards this season. Two years ago, when he almost put up 1,000, he had an inflated 5.7 yd/carry avg. This stat needs to be put into proper perspective.

Since 1947 to present, only eight times has a running back attempted 166 carries or more and averaged 5.7 yds. or better. The most recent backs to do it were Jones-Drew in 2006 and Barry Sanders in 1997.

Drew does have some increased value in that he can break the big play and should obtain 10 touchdowns. Besides, there is always the chance that Fred Taylor will get injured again. Though you might be tempted, do not make Drew your first running back.

If you still are not convinced, Jerious Norwood posted a 5.95 yd/carry in a committee last year. Would you trust him to be your No. 1 running back in a seasonal league? We thought not.

13. Marshawn Lynch

Lynch missed some time (three games) with a high-ankle sprain last season. Sprains normally are not recurring, so his health should be fine this year. We here at Fantasy Football Maniaxs see no reason why Lynch cannot repeat last year’s numbers of 1,115 YDS and seven TDs.

Keep in mind though, Lynch only had three, 100-yard games last year (though two in December). We believe Lynch will improve this year (fifth in SOS) but we are not convinced you will gain any extra points from his receiving skills.Ā  Ā  Ā 

14. Ronnie Brown

Yes, Ron Brown blew out his knee last year. Yes, it takes two years to fully recover from a knee injury. However, Brown reports to be ahead of schedule and Carson Palmer has proved you can come back from a knee injury pretty darn quickly.

Now Ron will need to do more with his knee, and that is why he is ranked this low. Last year, under Cam Cameron, had Brown stayed healthy, he was on pace to 2,200 all-purpose yards, plus 11 touchdowns. Miami would have won more than one game and Ron would be solidly entrenched as our No. six running back.

Yes, Cam is gone. We assure you Bill and Tony have seen last year’s game tape and they will use Ron to all that he is capable of doing. Unless he suffers a setback, the early third round is when owners should draft Brown. If he is there after that, snatch him up and reap the rewards. Enjoy Miami’s seventh-ranked SOS with Brown leading the way. Ā  Ā 

15. Willis McGahee

Speaking of Cam Cameron (think L.T. and Ronnie Brown), he is now in Baltimore. He has another fine weapon to coordinate and utilize in McGahee. McGahee comes with some injury concerns and the drafting of Ray Rice (think Michael Turner in SD) that will limit his value a bit.

What this means is that McGahee will have competition to push him, but he should win the starting job. Early reports also indicate Rice will also be playing the slot this year, which will help free up coverage on McGahee. Rice will also help keep McGahee fresh, and that makes McGahee a great value-pick in the second round. Ā  Ā 

16. Laurence Maroney

Patriots' passing game comes down to Earth, and Maroney benefits thanks also to an amicable SOS that ranks eighth this year. Oh by the way, the Patriots' O-line is ranked No. 1 in the league. If they give their running game some consideration like they did last season in the playoffs, Maroney will be a top-10 back by season's end.Ā  Ā 

17. Jamal Lewis

This aging veteran has one more year in the tank on a high-powered offense. The only concern, besides his age, is a tough 29th ranked SOS. Ā  Ā 

18. Reggie Bush

He is a multi-purpose threat, and McAllister is injury prone. The Saints should be going back to their 2006 playbook, and that will help Bush in some regard.

19. Michael Turner

He should be ranked higher, but is unproven as a starter. The chance to prove himself is served on a silver platter as the Falcons’ RB will enjoy a fourth best SOS this upcoming season. If the Falcons' O-line returns to their 2006 efficiency, Turner will reap some benefits.

20. Earnest Graham

One-year wonder? Probably not. Graham is a good PPR back with a new four-year contract and no threat behind him, as Warrick Dunn is 33-years old and Carnell Williams' NFL future is in jeopardy while trying to recovery from injury. Williams will begin the season on the PUP list.

21. Willie Parker

ā€œFast Willieā€ is a yardage machine that will not see the end zone often. He is rehabilitating a broken leg. Rookie Rashard Mendenhall will steal some caries and TDs from him.

22. Julius Jones

Possible committee in Seattle, but we think it is smoke to motivate as Maurice Morris is not a fantasy household name. Jones could be the steal of the draft.

23. Darren McFadden. This year’s Adrian Peterson by many. Because of Peterson's 2007 success, he will be reached for. Think early third-round value. HE HAS SIGNED A CONTRACT!

His value is a double-edged sword: the Raiders ranked sixth in rushing last year, but are still a team on rebuilding mode with unproven JaMarcus Russell at the helm.Ā 

24. Selvin Young

He looks like the starter for now. Shanahanagans and Ryan Torain have to be a concern.Ā  Ā Ā 

25. Edgerrin James

Edge has not aged well. There are still gaps in the Cards' OL, but we'll take a last 1,000-yard season from him. His value rises a little in PPR leagues.

26. LenDale White

He will get the goal-line touches. He will get the yards. He will not get the receptions. Ā  Ā 

27. Thomas Jones

30-years old with Leon Washington breathing down his neck. Awesome OL in New York. Jones makes for a safe RB2. Ā  Ā 

28. DeAngelo Williams

John Fox normally does not play rookies. However, Jonathan Stewart may change his rules. Carolina's SOS is ranked first for 2008. This could be Williams' best year ever.

29. Rudi Johnson

This year, the Bengals have hinted on using a RBBC that will see Rudi, Kenny Watson (their best RB last year), Chris Perry, and De De Dorsey among others. Need we say more? At best, Rudi is consistent if he gets most of the load. Draft with caution.

30. Fred Taylor

Fred will get yards. Can he stay healthy? Jones-Drew is ready to take over in Jacksonville.Ā  Ā Ā 

31. Jonathan Stewart

Stewart is a human bowling ball. Stewart defines high-risk high-reward. Again, Carolina has the No. 1 SOS for RBs in 2008.Ā  Ā Ā 

32. Matt Forte

His stock can rise significantly. He will start. Are the Bears offensively sound? Ummmm no. Ā  Ā 

33. Rashard Mendenhall

He should get the TD carries in Pittsburgh's RBBC. Ā  Ā 

34. Chester Taylor

Peterson’s track record says he should get hurt. But for how long? Handcuffing is a must here.Ā  Ā 

35. Kevin Smith

Should be the opening-day starter for the Detroit Lions. His 400+ carries as a senior could be a bad sign.

36. Justin Fargas

He will open the season as the Raiders starter. It will not end that way.

37. Ahman Green/Chris Brown

One should start, and starting has some value. We do not see either finishing the season as the starter for the Texans. Ā  Ā Ā 

38. Ahmad Bradshaw

Jacobs equals injuries. Bradshaw could replace. Beware! Goodell could suspend him.

39. Leon Washington

One injury to Thomas Jones away from starting for the Jets.Ā  Ā 

40. Ladell Betts

Good pass-catching back that could see time in West Coast offense. If you have the roster space, handcuff to Portis. Ā  Ā 

41. Deuce McAllister

Should start and run between the tackles. McAllister has played all 16 games only twice in seven years. Ā  Ā 

42. Felix Jones

Should play some slot and is a bye-week replacement if you are desperate. Ā  Ā 

43. Ricky Williams

Puff! Puff! He is only of value if Brown starts the season on the PUP list. If not, his relief carries during games won't hold much fantasy value.

44. Jerious Norwood

Backup to Turner who could see 10-15 touches a game. One of these years, hopefully before he retires, he will be the starting back for the Falcons.

Rank/NotesĀ Player/TeamĀ 
1LaDanian Tomlinson SD
2Ā Adrian Peterson MINĀ 
3Ā Brian Westbrook PHIĀ 
4Ā Steven Jackson STLĀ 
5Ā Joseph Addai INDĀ 
6Ā Clinton Portis WASĀ 
7Ā Marion Barber DALĀ 
8Ā Ryan Grant GBĀ 
9Ā Larry Johnson KCĀ 
10Ā Frank Gore SFĀ 
11Ā Brandon Jacobs NYGĀ 
12Ā Maurice Jones-Drew JAXĀ 
13Ā Marshawn Lynch BUFĀ 
14Ā Ronnie Brown MIAĀ 
15Ā Willis McGahee BALĀ 
16Ā Laurence Maroney NEĀ 
17Ā Jamal Lewis CLEĀ 
18Ā Reggie Bush NOĀ 
19Ā Michael Turner ATLĀ 
20Ā Earnest Graham TBĀ 
21Ā Willie Parker PITĀ 
22Ā Julius Jones SEAĀ 
23Ā Darren McFadden OAKĀ 
24Ā Selvin young DENĀ 
25Ā Edgerrin James AZĀ 
26Ā Lendale White TENĀ 
27Ā Thomas Jones NYJĀ 
28Ā DeAngelo Williams CARĀ 
29Ā Rudi Johnson CINĀ 
30Ā Fred Taylor JAXĀ 
31Ā Jonathan Stewart CARĀ 
32Ā Matt Forte CHIĀ 
33Ā Rashard Mendenhall PITĀ 
34Ā Chester Taylor MINĀ 
35Ā K. Smith/T. Bell DETĀ 
36Ā Justin Fargas OAKĀ 
37Ā A.Green/C.Brown HOUĀ 
38Ā Ahmad Bradshaw NYGĀ 
39Ā Leon Washington NYJĀ 
40Ā Ladell Betts WASĀ 
41Ā Deuce McAllister NOĀ 
42Ā Felix Jones DALĀ 
43Ā Ricky Williams MIAĀ 
44Ā Jerious Norwood ATLĀ 

2008 RBs Rankings PDF (Downloadable)

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