The rumor mill surrounding Kevin Gregg has been starting to gain momentum regarding where exactly the 6’6” Goliath will employ his duties in 2010.
There have been three mainstay suitors entertaining the notion of bringing on Gregg: Florida, Colorado, and Toronto, with San Diego being rumored to be in the mix as well.
Foregoing San Diego, each scenario with the remaining teams present their own unique situation for Gregg, as well as the impact it could have on his fantasy value.
Our first look is the interesting possibility of a reunion between Gregg and the Marlins. During his two-year stint in Florida, Gregg converted 82 percent of his saves, and gained some notoriety—the main reason for the Cubs picking him up last year.
The Marlins could offer a closer position to Gregg considering his only real competition would be Leo Nunez, and with the type of power the Marlins showcase in their batting order, one has to imagine Gregg could find himself in a good situation, which means owners who take a chance on him could find themselves with a quality sleeper pick.
Our second stop finds us out west in Colorado where the Rockies are looking more toward a set up man, rather than another closer. The move from a baseball stand point makes sense in the respect that having a quality set up arm for Huston Street would lift some pressure off of the pen.
But from a fantasy stand point this type of deal—if it were to happen—would severely hurt the value Gregg does have. The big man is not known for having success in extended playing time, and the additional work would probably have negative results in an already bloated career 3.6 BB/9 rate.
The notion that Gregg would have to take a back seat to Street isn’t something that will probably happen since the Rockies' budget shrunk quite a bit after signing Mora, so don’t expect too much out of this.
Our third and final stop is across the border in Toronto, where an already existing battle for the closer spot has ensued; a battle that would favor Gregg if he were to enter the ring.
Both Jason Frasor and Scott Downs will duke it out for the closer spot, and it is rumored that Toronto is very much interested in Gregg as well. But if you compare all three of them, Gregg looks to be—on paper that is—a slight favorite.
But in the event Gregg does get picked up by Toronto and begins to flourish, you have to think about the positive effect on the other pitchers.
Downs would ultimately be relegated to a set-up man’s role which would be ideal for the late bloomer.
There’s no doubt Downs can throw strikes, but when he get in a jam, he tends to get peppered. His curveball and change-up, however, could be better utilized as a set-up pitcher. Considering he did hold some value last year before his injury, you might want to consider keeping him on your radar for now.
Then there is Jason Frasor, who could still be used in a closer role, just only in certain situations, which could go a long way in terms of his net worth and longevity.
Frasor’s biggest knock is he tends to fall off the map in the summer months, which is right around the time the inconsistency bug hits him.
But the guy has a near unhittable curveball, and does have a career 8.2 SO/9 rate making him an intriguing consideration as a possible late round closer.
For Gregg, his overall projected fantasy value in 2010 will be codependent on where exactly he signs, which is ironic, since whatever team does pick him up, will enjoy some potential positive effects on their own existing pens, effects that could also hold some weight in fantasy.