NCAA Basketball Picks: NC Wilmington vs. William & Mary Odds: January 4th 2010

NC Wilmington vs. William & Mary
Free Pick: NC wilmington +9.5 -110 odds
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I went against William & Mary on Saturday and it snuck out another win, its 10th straight on the year. This team is definitely one of the bigger surprises in the country as the Tribe have won two games against the ACC on the road as they won in Wake Forest and most recently, in Maryland last week. The 10-2 start is the second-best in school history, trailing only the 14-2 start of the 1948-49 team and they have equaled the school-record winning streak of 10 games along with the 1929-30 squad. Taking nothing away from this hot start but William & Mary has four wins that have come by two points or less including three by a single point. The Tribe have yet to lost against the number and that gives us some added value in the line tonight. NC-Wilmington is on a three-game losing streak and at 4-8, this is not the start the Seahawks envisioned After going 7-25 last season in a rebuilding year, they were expected to show some improvements but it has been up and down so far. The one big positive is that the Seahawks have been competitive as they have lost five games by eight points or fewer including games against Miami-Florida, South Florida and Richmond. The season does include a win over Penn St. so the record may be a little skewed especially considering on the season, NC-Wilmington is almost dead even in scoring margin at -0.2 ppg. The Seahawks are coming off a blowout loss at VCU on Saturday so this sets up as a big bounce back opportunity and similar to the Tribe winning streak, that blowout loss also provides some line value. Despite the variance in the records, the Seahawks own a small positive in assist/turnover ratio margin while William & Mary is at a negative in its ratio. The differences are small but they are close enough to even to give us an edge. This is a double-revenge spot for the Seahawks as well as they were swept last season by 14 and 29 points and it is doubtful they have forgotten. The Tribe are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against a team with a losing road record while the Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a winning home record. 3* NC-Wilmington Seahawks