Lately I have been under the impression that the Green Bay Packers are going to be the Super Bowl winners. I just watch them play and the seem so dominant, despite their upset loss to Tampa. I got some team stats together to see who would have the edge.
This is what I came up with.
Total Defense: 1st 273.5
Passing Defense: 3rd 180.2
Rushing Defense: 4th 87.2
Total Offense: 6th 379.3
Passing Offense: 8th 262.2
Rushing Offense: 13th 117.1
Points Scored: 7th 323
Points Allowed: 8th 233
Opponent Toughness: 85-96
Total Defense: 18th 343.9
Passing Defense: 22nd 230.0
Rushing Defense: 20th 113.9
Total Offense: 1st 429.0
Passing Offense: 3rd 286.4
Rushing Offense: 5th 142.6
Points Scored: 1st 440
Points Allowed: 16th 251
Opponent Toughness: 76-116
Of all of these stats I am most impressed with the Packers' passing defense. They exist in a division filled with air games. Brett Favre taking over Minnesota, Peterson is a lot less of a factor now. Matthew Stafford to Johnson in Detroit, they are a more successful offense than they seem; and Jay Cutler in Chicago, they like to throw the ball, but haven't been getting the job done very well. 6 games out of Green Bay's season goes from this.
Next, New Orleans has the 20th ranked rush defense. Ouch. But is that a complement or embarrassing. As I said for the Packers in being in a division of passing teams; the Saints too are in a division where the teams strive well. Twice a year they have to go up against Michael Turner who is the center of the Falcons' offense, then play the Carolina rushing duo twice a year. I'm not sure if I should look down on their ranking, or if I should consider them lucky to be as high as they are.
There is only a 9 game difference in their schedule difficulty, favoring Green Bay; but you have to remember that the Saints are the undefeated team. I think it could be deceiving since the Pack came along as a well-rounded team late this season. Their rookies are finally producing, and the offensive line has decided to protect Rodgers for a change.
All in all what I get out of it is...
The Packers #1 defense against the Saints #1 offense. Seems like a fair matchup right?
Well, how about the Saints 18th defense against the Packers #6 Offense?
That isn't to say that it would be a blowout, but in number talk Packers Win (38-35)
There is no doubt it would be a high scoring game, but my statements about Green Bay being underrated seem very accurate after doing some research.
What do you all think?
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