The Picks: NFL Week 13
Buffalo vs. New York Jets (predicted before game)
The Jets did not look that great against Carolina, actually watching the entire game. It was more the incompetence of Jake Delhomme than strong play from the Jets. Buffalo is playing well right now. However, it's hard to see the running game of New York not just totally destroying Buffalo's defense. This game will be a very close one.
New York 20 (-3.5), Buffalo 13
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia
A battle between two injury-depleted teams is the story in this one. Matt Ryan and Michael Turner are out for Atlanta, while Westbrook and Jackson are out for the Eagles.
Atlanta only scoring 17 on Tampa is very worrisome.
Philly's defense will shut down Atlanta's offense.
Philadelphia 23(-4.5), Atlanta 17
Carolina vs. Tampa Bay
Matt Moore will be making his first start of the season against Tampa, and that means a heavy dose of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. That's bad news for Tampa, which has struggled mightily against Double Trouble the past two times that Carolina has played the Buccaneers.
The Panthers ground game is going to have a field day.
Carolina 31(-6.5), Tampa Bay 14
Chicago vs. St. Louis
Chicago is reeling, and reeling fast, but St. Louis is just awful. Steven Jackson should, yet again, have a huge day against a suddenly horrible Bears defense, but Jay Cutler should finally rebound against a Rams team with no defense. Matt Forte will have a big game as well.
Chicago will just outscore the Rams.
Chicago 34 (-8.5), St. Louis 20
Cincinnati vs. Detroit
Cedric Benson or no Cedric Benson, the Bengals would not lose at home to Detroit. Having Benson just assures Cincy of a victory even more. Stafford doesn't play well against good defenses, and Leon Hall and Jonathan Joseph are two of the best corners in the league. Yet another depressing week for Lions fans.
Cincinnati 24 (-13.5), Detroit 7 (Lock of the Week)
Indianapolis vs. Tennessee
Chris Johnson is going to run all over the Colts, that's a given, but Vince Young won't be able to win such a high stakes on the line. I'll take Manning at home over Young on the road any day.
Add that Indy's defense is causing turnovers left and right, and Indy's a lock to take another step toward the nearly impossible perfect season.
Indianapolis 28 (-6.5), Tennessee 17 (Game of the Week)
Jacksonville vs. Houston
Houston is going through the same motions as they do every year. Once they gain some playoff contender hype, they put themselves out of the race. They also play better once they are out of it.
Jacksonville showed they were extremely inconsistent last week, and Houston will catch them on another inconsistent day. Jacksonville cannot stop that high powered offense.
Houston 31 (+0.5), Jacksonville 13
Kansas City vs. Denver
The Broncos might have embarrassed the Giants last week, but they are more of a mix between that team and the team that lost four straight than the team that showed up on Thanksgiving.
Kansas City will put up a very good fight, but the Broncos are just a little too talented for the Chiefs.
Denver 16, Kansas City 13 (+4.5)
Pittsburgh vs. Oakland
Pittsburgh may have gone to Kansas City and lost, but they will not lose to Oakland. I don't care the entire second string offense played in this game, Pittsburgh would win every time. The defense will show up against the awful Raiders offense, and it's almost impossible not to score at least once against Oakland's defense.
The blowout Pittsburgh fans have been waiting for will come here.
Pittsburgh 27 (-11.5), Oakland 3
Washington vs. New Orleans
I keep picking against New Orleans, and they keep winning. But this week is the week it all comes tumbling down. It's the perfect trap game. On the road against a team that has been playing well, but not a team that is regarded as particularly good.
The New Orleans offense will be smothered by Washington, and they'll make some big plays to salvage their season somewhat.
Washington 24 (+8.5), New Orleans 21 (Upset of the Week)
Cleveland vs. San Diego
San Diego is playing just as well as any team with a better record than them right now. Merriman and Phillips are playing great every week on defense, and the running game has finally gotten going, even without LT being great. They have been going three of four backs deep recently and have been getting solid production out off all of them.
We're gonna be seeing all of those backs in another blowout this week.
San Diego 41 (-12.5), Cleveland 10
Arizona vs. Minnesota
Kurt Warner should play in this game, but he probably wishes he couldn't. Facing the Vikings defensive line has to be frightening for any player, especially one coming back from a concussion. The Vikes have what it takes to slow down Arizona's suddenly red hot, running game as well.
This is gut check time for both of these teams.
Minnesota 27 (-3.5), Arizona 21
New York Giants vs. Dallas
This game is going to come down to which quarterback makes the most mistakes. Eli is starting to go into his late season cocoon that he always goes into when the winds of the Meadowlands really pick up. Bad news Eli, this game is in northern Jersey.
Romo isn't exactly Mr. Clutch either though. He will throw a late pick to cost Dallas a game they should have won.
NYG 20 (+1.5), Dallas 17
Seattle vs. San Francisco
How is Seattle favored in this game? San Fran is coming off of a dominant win over Jacksonville, and the Niners beat the Seahawks badly early in the year. Seattle was only favored by 2.5 in St. Louis last week!
The 49ers will win easily.
San Francisco 24 (+0.5), Seattle 14
Miami vs. New England
New England is going to be very angry coming off of their humiliating loss in the Superdome. Miami, prepare to have the score run up on you. Coach Belichick isn't known for his patient temper, and Miami is the team in the way of his wrath.
If Buffalo could run up the score on Miami, then the Patriots should have no problem.
New England 34 (-6.5), Miami 17
Green Bay vs. Baltimore
Green Bay seems to be protecting Aaron Rodgers much better over the past few games. Still, Baltimore is one of the best blitzing teams in the league. Both teams' seasons are on the line, but Baltimore and Ray Rice get the nod.
Baltimore 24 (+3.5), Green Bay 23
Game of the Week: Indianapolis vs. Tennessee
Upset of the Week: Washington over New Orleans
Lock of the Week: Cincinnati over Detroit
Last Week: 10-6 (vs. spread:7-9) (Game of the Week:0-1, Upset of the Week:0-1, Lock of the Week: 1-0)
Overall: 112-64 (vs. spread: 98-78)
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