For the Patriots to make it to there 5th Superbowl this decade they will need some things to go their way.
The Patriots must win out and go 12-4 and be the number 2 seed. The schedule the patriots have left is the easiest among the other two teams vying for the second spot, the Chargers and the Bengals. The Patriots remaining opponents are a combined 24 and 31, the Chargers opponents are 25 and 30 while the Bengals have the toughest schedule by far at 28 and 27.
The Bengals still have to play the vikings in week 13 which would give them 4 loses and then the Chargers week 14. That's a tough two game stretch and could wind up with two loses and giving them five for the year. That gets the Patriots to the third spot if they win out.
The Chargers on the other hand are playing at a high level and i can only for see one loss out of there remaining schedule and that's week 12 at Dallas. If the Chargers then win out and go 12-4 the tie breaker would go to the Patriots because they both would be 9-3 in the conference and 5-1 in divisions so the next tie breaker is common opponent. The Patriots beat the Ravens in week 5 and the Chargers lost to them in week 2.
If this scenario works out the Patriots are the second seed with a first round by and home field for at least one game. If it doesn't the patriots cant go on the road and win 2 or more games as is evident in the 1-4 road record this year.