Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For GIANTS (-6.5) Vs. FALCONS

Robert StollCorrespondent INovember 20, 2009

PHILADELPHIA - NOVEMBER 01:  A cheerleader of the Philadelphia Eagles performs during a time out against the New York Giants on November 1, 2009 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

NY GIANTS (-6.5) 27 Atlanta 19

Over/Under Total: 46.0
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-22

The Giants have lost 4 consecutive games since starting the season with 5 wins, and the Falcons also find themselves at 5-4 for the season - so this is a pivotal game for both teams.

The Giants are a better team from the line of scrimmage, rating at 0.3 yppl better than average on offense and 0.4 yppl better than average on defense while the Falcons are +0.4 yppl on offense, after a small adjustment for being without RB Michael Turner, and 0.4 yppl worse than average defensively. The Giants also have an advantage in projected turnovers against an interception prone Matt Ryan but my math model only favors the G-Men by 5 points in this game.

I'll still lean with New York on the basis of a solid 67-31-4 ATS statistical profile indicator that plays on winning teams as home favorites of 3 points or more that run the ball for 115 yards per game or more and allow less than 170 passing yards per game.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 5 NCAA Best Bets and 3 NCAA Strong Opinions this week, and 1 NFL Strong Opinion!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

Follow me on Facebook and Twitter for updates on Best Bet releases