Georgia's Upset Alert and Other SEC Predictions for Nov. 21

The ACC and SEC BlogSenior Analyst INovember 19, 2009

JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 31:  Quarterback Joe Cox #14 of the Georgia Bulldogs against the Florida Gators at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on October 31, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
Not the most exciting slate of SEC games this week, but the next seven days will be huge; so a "week off" might be a good thing.
Florida and Alabama have warmup games before their big rivalry rounds next week.
Speaking of rivalries, Tennessee will try to earn bowl eligibility by beating Vanderbilt this Saturday.
Georgia hopes to use the confidence gained from their win over Auburn to beat Kentucky and improve its bowl chances. Same goes for Arkansas who is hosting Mississippi State in Little Rock.

Last week was a good week for us, as we went 11-1 straight up and 7-4-1 against the spread.

Here's a rundown of this week's pivotal games.


Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia Bulldogs

Saturday 7:45PM ET TV: ESPN

Line: UGA -8

Two 6-4 teams who have had drastically different seasons meet in Athens in ESPN’s primetime game Saturday night.

The disappointing Bulldogs are coming off a big win over Auburn in a game that could have sent their season even further south.

Georgia’s big problem defensively has been the number of points allowed. The Bulldogs’ poor turnover margin was at the bottom of FBS before last week.

UK may or may not have Randall Cobb available. Last year, Cobb ran the option at QB and nearly led the Wildcats to a win in Lexington.

If he is available I think UK has a shot at the upset here.

Georgia Wins
Kentucky Covers +8


Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday 12:20PM ET TV: SEC Network

Line: ARK -11

We have a clash of styles between MSU and Arkansas on Saturday. The Bulldogs want to run the ball and the Razorbacks would like to sling it all over the yard.

The Bulldog defense is starting to show some wear and tear giving up 230 rush yards per game over their last three contests.

The Bulldogs have never won in Little Rock or Fayetteville and I don’t think that trend will end this year.

The Razorbacks will blow this one open in the second half behind Ryan Mallet’s arm.

Arkansas Wins
Arkansas Covers -11


Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers

Saturday 7PM ET TV: ESPNU

Line: TENN -17

Lane Kiffin is glad last week is over. The Vols annually dominate the month of November but it does not look like that will be the case this season.

Vanderbilt has had some tough luck in 2009; or maybe just not the same luck they had in 2008.

With a win, Tennessee will become bowl eligible in their first year under Kiffin. Despite even more distractions this week, I think the Vols bounce back nicely.

The Vols like to run the ball and Vandy has not been very good at stopping the run this year; this could be a recipe for a blowout.

Tennessee Wins
Tennessee Covers -17