Temple (-6.0) 20 AKRON 17
Temple is riding a 7 game win streak and sits atop the Mid American Conference while Akron is celebrating their first win of the season over a Division 1A opponent, a 28-20 home win over Kent last week. Despite the records I think this game will be pretty competitive.
Temple is solid defensively (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average team), but Akron's defense is nearly as good, allowing just 5.5 yppl to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense. The offensive edge for Temple isn't that large either, as the Owls are 0.9 yppl worse than average offensively in 1A games (5.1 yppl against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl) while Akron is is 0.9 yppl worse than average on offense for the season (4.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl) and 1.0 yppl worse than average with their current personnel.
My math model favors Temple by just 3 points in this game and Akron applies to a 52-14 ATS situation. Temple does apply to a 107-47-2 ATS statistical match-up indicator but I like the Zips based on the line value and I also like the under.
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