SEC Predictions For Nov. 14: Tennessee Not Focused, Miss. State Upset?

The ACC and SEC BlogSenior Analyst INovember 12, 2009

GAINESVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 19:  Head coach Lane Kiffin of the Tennessee Volunteers watches the action prior to the game against the Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on September 19, 2009 in Gainesville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Despite the news out of Knoxville and waiting until the facts are clear, I am pressing on with some predictions for the SEC this weekend.  Five conference games, including a big one in Athens, highlight the schedule this weekend.

Even with the two division races sewed up, some teams are still looking to qualify for bowl games. 

Last week I was 10-0 SU and 5-4-1 ATS overall and 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the SEC.

Tennessee Volunteers at Ole Miss Rebels

Line: Ole Miss -4.5

I am sure Lane Kiffin loved being awakened from his sleep next to his beautiful wife to hear three of his players had been arrested last night. I am also going to guess that the focus of the Volunteer football team and coaching staff is now not 100 percent focused on Ole Miss like it should be.

But even before all that, I liked Ole Miss in this game because of how they have played at home and how UT has played on the road this season. Ole Miss is having a disappointing year, but it is not a bad year by Ole Miss standards and the Rebels should not be slighted for underachieving when looking at the spread.

Ole Miss Wins
Ole Miss Covers -4.5

Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt Commodores

Line: Kentucky -3

Last year Vandy came into Lexington and beat Kentucky on their way to their first bowl game since the early 80s. Now it is payback time for Kentucky who will ride their underrated defense into Nashville.

Also, I like what UK is doing on offense now and wonder why they have not done it all year? But now they may switch back to Mike Hartline at QB this week if he is healthy.

Anyways, I like the Wildcats to take down a despondent Vanderbilt team.

Kentucky Wins
Kentucky Covers -3

Florida Gators at South Carolina Gamecocks

Line: Florida -16

Brandon Spikes is sending the three Tennessee Vol players chocolates for taking him off the news. A simple eye gouging looks pretty tame right now in the SEC.

The end of the season is getting near and that must mean South Carolina is starting to play worse. The defense is banged up and not playing at the same level that got South Carolina fortune and glory in September.

Meanwhile, the Gators' defense has been lights out on the road this year giving up under 200 yards per game and 10 points. I think Florida wins and covers here after sleepwalking through the Vandy game.

Florida Wins
Florida Covers -16

La. Tech Bulldogs at LSU Tigers

Line: LSU -24

La. Tech has been close in three straight games, but fallen short in all three most notably against Boise State last Friday. LSU is coming off a tough loss at Alabama last week.

The Tigers will win this one easily, but I do not think they cover. LSU will have a tough time getting up for La Tech who is sandwiched between arguably their two biggest rivals, Alabama and Ole Miss.

LSU Wins
La Tech Covers +24

Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Line: Alabama -12

You have to like Dan Mullen's confidence by coming out and saying his Bulldogs will beat Alabama on Saturday night. I am sure Nick Saban took that comment at face value.

Davis Wade Stadium will be rocking like it was for Florida, but I don't know if they can count on two interception returns for touchdowns as Alabama might not pass the ball that many times. Miss State's defense is giving up 219 rush yards per game on the season.

I think the Tide run the ball down their throats, control the clock, and get out of Starkville with a win.

Alabama Wins

Alabama Covers -12