NFL Week 10 Fantasy Football Projections

WhatIfSports.com by Columnist Written on November 10, 2009
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This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football . Each regular season game is simulated 10,001 times. This allows us to account for every player and statistical interaction in an NFL game. Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of Tuesday each week. Information on scoring appears at the bottom of this article.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

 

 

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
1. Drew Brees QB Saints Rams 25.2
2. Ray Rice RB Ravens Browns 21.7
3. Adrian Peterson RB Vikings Lions 21.5
4. Chris Johnson RB Titans Bills 20.3
5. Peyton Manning QB Colts Patriots 19.4
6. Tom Brady QB Patriots Colts 19.4
7. Michael Turner RB Falcons Panthers 18.9
8. Aaron Rodgers QB Packers Cowboys 18.8
9. Frank Gore RB 49ers Bears 18.6
10. Joe Flacco QB Ravens Browns 18.5
11. Brett Favre QB Vikings Lions 18.4
12. Philip Rivers QB Chargers Eagles 18.2
13. Maurice Jones-Drew RB Jaguars Jets 18.2
14. Ben Roethlisberger QB Steelers Bengals 18.1
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
15. Donovan McNabb QB Eagles Chargers 18.0
16. Kurt Warner QB Cardinals Seahawks 17.8
17. Matt Hasselbeck QB Seahawks Cardinals 17.4
18. Tony Romo QB Cowboys Packers 16.9
19. Jay Cutler QB Bears 49ers 16.6
20. Pierre Thomas RB Saints Rams 16.5
21. Steven Jackson RB Rams Saints 16.1
22. LeSean McCoy RB Eagles Chargers 15.9
23. Matt Cassel QB Chiefs Raiders 15.9
24. Joseph Addai RB Colts Patriots 15.8
25. Tim Hightower RB Cardinals Seahawks 15.6
26. Thomas Jones RB Jets Jaguars 15.4
27. Marion Barber RB Cowboys Packers 15.3
28. Mark Sanchez QB Jets Jaguars 15.0
29. Josh Freeman QB Buccaneers Dolphins 14.9
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
30. Cedric Benson RB Bengals Steelers 14.7
31. DeAngelo Williams RB Panthers Falcons 14.6
32. Matt Ryan QB Falcons Panthers 14.6
33. Kyle Orton QB Broncos Redskins 14.5
34. Chad Henne QB Dolphins Buccaneers 14.4
35. Alex Smith QB 49ers Bears 14.2
36. Ronnie Brown RB Dolphins Buccaneers 13.8
37. David Garrard QB Jaguars Jets 13.4
38. Rashard Mendenhall RB Steelers Bengals 13.4
39. Ryan Grant RB Packers Cowboys 13.4
40. Reggie Bush RB Saints Rams 13.3
41. Laurence Maroney RB Patriots Colts 13.3
42. JaMarcus Russell QB Raiders Chiefs 13.1
43. Trent Edwards QB Bills Titans 13.0
44. Matt Forte RB Bears 49ers 12.5
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
45. Ricky Williams RB Dolphins Buccaneers 12.3
46. Marshawn Lynch RB Bills Titans 12.2
47. Carson Palmer QB Bengals Steelers 11.8
48. Larry Fitzgerald WR Cardinals Seahawks 11.7
49. Vince Young QB Titans Bills 11.7
50. Reggie Wayne WR Colts Patriots 11.6
51. Jason Campbell QB Redskins Broncos 11.5
52. Hines Ward WR Steelers Bengals 11.5
53. Vincent Jackson WR Chargers Eagles 11.4
54. Sidney Rice WR Vikings Lions 11.4
55. Knowshon Moreno RB Broncos Redskins 11.4
56. Correll Buckhalter RB Broncos Redskins 11.3
57. Marques Colston WR Saints Rams 11.2
58. Wes Welker WR Patriots Colts 11.1
59. Nate Burleson WR Seahawks Cardinals 10.8
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
60. Randy Moss WR Patriots Colts 10.5
61. Nick Folk K Cowboys Packers 10.5
62. Matthew Stafford QB Lions Vikings 10.4
63. Chad Ochocinco WR Bengals Steelers 10.3
64. Darren McFadden RB Raiders Chiefs 10.3
65. Jamaal Charles RB Chiefs Raiders 10.2
66. Vernon Davis TE 49ers Bears 10.2
67. Dallas Clark TE Colts Patriots 10.2
68. Brent Celek TE Eagles Chargers 9.9
69. DeSean Jackson WR Eagles Chargers 9.8
70. Shonn Greene RB Jets Jaguars 9.8
71. Devin Hester WR Bears 49ers 9.7
72. Greg Jennings WR Packers Cowboys 9.7
73. Donald Driver WR Packers Cowboys 9.6
74. Jake Delhomme QB Panthers Falcons 9.5
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
75. John Carney K Saints Rams 9.5
76. Jerricho Cotchery WR Jets Jaguars 9.2
77. Julius Jones RB Seahawks Cardinals 9.2
78. Ryan Longwell K Vikings Lions 9.2
79. Rob Bironas K Titans Bills 9.2
80. Dan Carpenter K Dolphins Buccaneers 9.0
81. Nate Kaeding K Chargers Eagles 9.0
82. Marc Bulger QB Rams Saints 8.9
83. Roddy White WR Falcons Panthers 8.9
84. Jonathan Stewart RB Panthers Falcons 8.9
85. Justin Fargas RB Raiders Chiefs 8.9
86. Carnell Williams RB Buccaneers Dolphins 8.8
87. Jamal Lewis RB Browns Ravens 8.8
88. Antonio Gates TE Chargers Eagles 8.8
89. Brandon Marshall WR Broncos Redskins 8.7
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
90. Santana Moss WR Redskins Broncos 8.7
91. Kevin Smith RB Lions Vikings 8.7
92. Steve Smith WR Panthers Falcons 8.7
93. David Akers K Eagles Chargers 8.6
94. Le'Ron McClain RB Ravens Browns 8.6
95. Olindo Mare K Seahawks Cardinals 8.6
96. Terrell Owens WR Bills Titans 8.5
97. Jeremy Shockey TE Saints Rams 8.5
98. Neil Rackers K Cardinals Seahawks 8.5
99. Derek Anderson QB Browns Ravens 8.4
100. Matt Stover K Colts Patriots 8.4
101. Devery Henderson WR Saints Rams 8.4
102. Stephen Gostkowski K Patriots Colts 8.3
103. Tony Gonzalez TE Falcons Panthers 8.3
104. Miles Austin WR Cowboys Packers 8.2
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
105. Beanie Wells RB Cardinals Seahawks 8.1
106. Ladell Betts RB Redskins Broncos 8.1
107. Sebastian Janikowski K Raiders Chiefs 8.1
108. Joe Nedney K 49ers Bears 8.1
109. Dwayne Bowe WR Chiefs Raiders 8.1
110. Josh Scobee K Jaguars Jets 8.0
111. Heath Miller TE Steelers Bengals 8.0
112. Jason Witten TE Cowboys Packers 8.0
113. Mason Crosby K Packers Cowboys 7.9
114. Robbie Gould K Bears 49ers 7.9
115. Mike Sims-Walker WR Jaguars Jets 7.9
116. Jason Elam K Falcons Panthers 7.8
117. Kellen Winslow TE Buccaneers Dolphins 7.8
118. Davone Bess WR Dolphins Buccaneers 7.8
119. John Kasay K Panthers Falcons 7.8
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
120. Jeff Reed K Steelers Bengals 7.7
121. Derrick Mason WR Ravens Browns 7.7
122. Jay Feely K Jets Jaguars 7.6
123. Felix Jones RB Cowboys Packers 7.6
124. Matt Prater K Broncos Redskins 7.6
125. Kevin Faulk RB Patriots Colts 7.5
126. Chris Chambers WR Chiefs Raiders 7.5
127. Rian Lindell K Bills Titans 7.5
128. Pierre Garcon WR Colts Patriots 7.4
129. Ryan Succop K Chiefs Raiders 7.4
130. Percy Harvin WR Vikings Lions 7.4
131. Vikings DEF   Lions 7.3
132. LaDainian Tomlinson RB Chargers Eagles 7.2
133. Kolby Smith RB Chiefs Raiders 7.2
134. Shayne Graham K Bengals Steelers 7.2
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
135. Brandon Pettigrew TE Lions Vikings 7.1
136. Steve Breaston WR Cardinals Seahawks 7.1
137. Lee Evans WR Bills Titans 7.0
138. Steven Hauschka K Ravens Browns 7.0
139. Derrick Ward RB Buccaneers Dolphins 6.9
140. Lance Long WR Chiefs Raiders 6.9
141. Darren Sproles RB Chargers Eagles 6.9
142. Santonio Holmes WR Steelers Bengals 6.8
143. Roy Williams WR Cowboys Packers 6.8
144. Jason Hanson K Lions Vikings 6.7
145. Braylon Edwards WR Jets Jaguars 6.7
146. Josh Brown K Rams Saints 6.7
147. Chad Simpson RB Colts Patriots 6.7
148. 49ers DEF   Bears 6.6
149. Mohamed Massaquoi WR Browns Ravens 6.5
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
150. Ravens DEF   Browns 6.5
151. Anquan Boldin WR Cardinals Seahawks 6.5
152. Malcom Floyd WR Chargers Eagles 6.5
153. Justin Gage WR Titans Bills 6.5
154. Saints DEF   Rams 6.5
155. Cardinals DEF   Seahawks 6.4
156. Maurice Morris RB Lions Vikings 6.4
157. Rashad Jennings RB Jaguars Jets 6.3
158. Calvin Johnson WR Lions Vikings 6.2
159. Todd Heap TE Ravens Browns 6.2
160. Greg Olsen TE Bears 49ers 6.2
161. John Carlson TE Seahawks Cardinals 6.2
162. Broncos DEF   Redskins 6.2
163. Leonard Weaver RB Eagles Chargers 6.1
164. Dustin Keller TE Jets Jaguars 6.1
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
165. Dolphins DEF   Buccaneers 6.1
166. Eagles DEF   Chargers 6.1
167. Donnie Avery WR Rams Saints 6.0
168. Torry Holt WR Jaguars Jets 6.0
169. Dantrell Savage RB Chiefs Raiders 6.0
170. Chargers DEF   Eagles 5.9
171. Titans DEF   Bills 5.9
172. Bengals DEF   Steelers 5.9
173. Jeremy Maclin WR Eagles Chargers 5.8
174. Steelers DEF   Bengals 5.8
175. Connor Barth K Buccaneers Dolphins 5.8
176. Cowboys DEF   Packers 5.8
177. Justin Forsett RB Seahawks Cardinals 5.6
178. Greg Camarillo WR Dolphins Buccaneers 5.6
179. T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR Seahawks Cardinals 5.6
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
180. Mark Clayton WR Ravens Browns 5.5
181. Louis Murphy WR Raiders Chiefs 5.5
182. Michael Jenkins WR Falcons Panthers 5.5
183. Shaun Suisham K Redskins Broncos 5.4
184. Mike Bell RB Saints Rams 5.4
185. Falcons DEF   Panthers 5.3
186. LenDale White RB Titans Bills 5.3
187. Chester Taylor RB Vikings Lions 5.3
188. Browns DEF   Ravens 5.3
189. Seahawks DEF   Cardinals 5.3
190. David Clowney WR Jets Jaguars 5.2
191. Zach Miller TE Raiders Chiefs 5.2
192. Mike Wallace WR Steelers Bengals 5.2
193. Jerome Harrison RB Browns Ravens 5.2
194. Antonio Bryant WR Buccaneers Dolphins 5.2
  Name Pos Team Opp Points
195. Sammie Stroughter WR Buccaneers Dolphins 5.1
196. Michael Bush RB Raiders Chiefs 5.1
197. Bears DEF   49ers 5.1
198. Benjamin Watson TE Patriots Colts 5.1
199. Eddie Royal WR Broncos Redskins 5.0
200. Phil Dawson K Browns Ravens 4.9

 

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected full-season fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football default scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points , each 25 yards passing are 1 point , interceptions are -2 points , fumbles lost are -2 points , each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points . For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards . Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle , 1 point for each sack , 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown . Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

Please note: These overall fantasy rankings are based on total points earned for the season. They do not account for position scarcity, number of owners drafting and their drafting styles, roster restrictions, custom league scoring rules or other items that should be considered while drafting.

Want to know how the best players of today would do against the greats of all-time? Find out using SimMatchup or build a team of the best ever and compete gainst others in the SimLeagues .

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in fantasy football simulation analysis and football sim games . With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com . Thanks!

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written on November 10, 2009 Sports

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