Full NCAA Bowl Game Projections
Bowl season is quickly approaching and it's about time to make full projections which will, in all likelihood, be more than 68.93% wrong. The entropic values of the equations that are the NCAA FBS chaos are well, chaotic.
On the other hand, if some prognosticators can get paid to project these things and be completely wrong, why can't I do the same - for free? So let us get started:
December 19th - New Mexico Bowl (MWC vs WAC) - Utah vs Nevada
And we open with the powerhouses of Utah and Nevada. No offense to Utah, but their may be a few too many bowls when this is one of the better ones on the schedule.
December 19th - St. Petersburg Bowl (Big East #6 vs C-USA) Middle Tennessee State vs Fresno
The Sun Belt picks up a second bowl game as the Big East fails to provide six bowl entries
December 20th - R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl (C-USA #5 vs Sun Belt Champions) Marshall vs Troy
The Sun Belt gets their chance at some respect as they face Marshall.
December 22nd - Maaco Bowl Las Vegas (Pac-10 #3 vs MWC Champion) Oregon State vs BYU
Theoretically the #3 Pac 10 team would not be playing as early as December 22nd, but against the ranked BYU, this should be the best of the early games.
December 23rd - San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl (MWC vs Pac 10 #6) San Diego State vs California
San Diego State may be bowl eligible for the first time since 1998, and you better bet the Poinsettia Bowl will pick them up even if Air Force is available to them. Not exactly TCU vs Boise State like it was last year, however.
December 24th - Sheraton Hawai'i Bowl (C-USA vs WAC) Southern Methodist vs Idaho
Hawai'i is not bowl eligible, so Idaho will take their place.
December 26th - Little Caesars Pizza Bowl (MAC Champion vs Big Ten #7) Temple vs Minnesota
The MAC Champions do not get much respect as they face the bottom of the Big Ten.
December 26th - Meineke Car Care Bowl (ACC #5-7 vs Big East #3) Virginia Tech vs West Virginia
The Battle of the Virginias. Sets a stretch of three good ACC games in a row.
December 26th - Emerald Bowl (ACC #5-7 vs Pac-10) North Carolina vs Stanford
Although weak in the conference, the Tar Heels have been strong enough to become bowl eligible, just in time to face ranked Stanford with a quarterback who's coach thinks is the best in the nation.
December 27th - Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl (ACC #5-7 vs SEC) Duke vs Arkansas
I thought Duke was a basketball school too, but they are going to be bowl eligible this year. Their reward? Arkansas and the single-wing.
December 28th - Advocare V100 Independence Bowl (SEC vs Big 12 #7) Kentucky vs Oklahoma
Oh how the mighty have fallen. If not for injuries to Sam Bradford, Oklahoma may be playing in the National Championship again this year, but c'est la vie. This may not be the most intriguing game, unless Bradford decides to play another game this season. At that point we get to see a Heisman winner play his final game.
December 29th - EagleBank Bowl (C-USA/Army vs ACC #8) East Carolina vs Florida State
Army does not run the table on the season and does not become bowl eligible, so East Carolina will take their spot.
December 29th - Champs Sports Bowl (ACC #4 vs Big Ten #4/5) Boston College vs Northwestern
Anyone else think there are too many bowls?
December 30th - Roady's Humanitarian Bowl (MWC vs MAC) Missouri vs Central Michigan
Lacking in eligible teams, the Mountain West bid gets offered to the Big 12 spill over, Missouri.
December 30th - Pacific Life Holiday Bowl (Pac 10 #2 vs Big 12 #3/4) Arizona vs Texas Tech
Arizona's quietly strong season brings them to #2 in the Pac 10, assuming they defeat the Ducks in the upcoming week.
December 31st - Bell Helicopters Armed Forces Bowl (MWC vs C-USA) Air Force vs Southern Mississippi
Its the Armed Forces Bowl, Air Force should be playing in it.
December 31st - Brut Sun Bowl (Pac-10 #3 vs Big East #2/ND/Big 12) Oregon vs Pittsburgh
Too bad for Oregon, I guess we all jumped on the bandwagon a little too early. They play Pittsburgh in El Paso, when they should be playing in Pasadena.
December 31st - Texas Bowl (Big 12 #8 vs Navy) Texas A&M vs Navy
The Texas Bowl has already extended an invitation to the bowl eligible Navy and Navy has accepted.
December 31st - Insight Bowl (Big Ten #6 vs Big 12 #6) Michigan State vs Kansas
Really, enough games are enough.
December 31st - Chick-fil-A Bowl (ACC #2 vs SEC) Miami (Fl) vs South Carolina
Actually a good game here as the Old Ball Coach faces off against the rejuvinated U.
January 1st - Outback Bowl (Big Ten #3 vs SEC #3) Penn St vs Auburn
Another fantastic game, as Penn State nearly makes the Rose Bowl, but will settle for the #4 SEC team in Auburn.
January 1st - Konica Minolta Gator Bowl (ACC #3 vs Big East/ND/Big 12) Clemson vs Notre Dame
This could be a last game for many at Notre Dame, including Jimmy Clausen who may jump to the NFL, and Charlie Weis, who may be fired.
January 1st - Capital One Bowl (Big Ten #2 vs SEC #2) - Iowa vs LSU
Poor Iowa. So close to the BCS, then their quarterback gets injured. Oregon circa 2007 feels your pain. They lose the undefeated season, later losing the Big Ten. They get their chance to prove themselves again at the Capital One Bowl vs #3 in the SEC LSU. With LSU's attacking defense, you may be tempted to ask the question to Iowa, Who's in your wallet?
January 2nd - International Bowl (Big East vs MAC #3) Southern Florida vs Ohio
Oh Canada! Was this expansion really necessary?
January 2nd - Papajohns.com Bowl (Big East vs SEC) - Rutgers vs Tennessee
This game does not even qualify for my interest if they were giving away free uncooked pizzas.
January 2nd - AT&T Cotton Bowl (Big 12 #2 vs SEC) - Kansas State vs Georgia
The Cotton Bowl can pick almost anyone they want out of the SEC, but they choose #6 Georgia to take on Kansas State and the Wildcats.
January 2nd - Autozone Liberty Bowl (C-USA Champions vs SEC) - Houston vs Mississippi
Houston has had a great season and has been throwing it over, under and around their schedule all year. Lets see if they can do it against the SEC and Mississippi.
January 2nd - Valero Energy Alamo Bowl (Big Ten #4/5 vs Big 12 #4/5) Wisconsin vs Nebraska
The Big Ten #4 faces off against the Big 12 #5. Nebraska has fielded a solid team this year and looks to be headed back to the Alamo Bowl where they won in 2003 and 2005. Wisconsin looks to enjoy their 7th straight bowl appearance
January 6th - GMAC Bowl (ACC vs MAC) Central Florida vs Northern Illinois
The ACC lacks eligible teams to compete in their ninth placement, so they are replaced by the Conference-USA's #6 squad, Central Florida. Northern Illinois looks to end the season well to become bowl eligible and end up as the MAC #4.
And now for the big boys, the games people actually watch. Remember, the Big East Champion automatically bids as an At Large team:
January 1st - Rose Bowl (Big Ten Champion vs Pac 10 Champion) Ohio State vs USC
No, I am not happy about this either. Ohio State vs USC, I feel I've heard this before. But USC has a great chance at the Pac-10 title, but will need Oregon to slip up vs two tough teams back to back in Arizona and Oregon State. After that, USC controls their own destiny by beating Arizona, creating a 3-way tie atop the Pac-10, where USC wins the tiebreak by having the best BCS record. Ohio State, on the other hand, plays #9 Iowa this weekend in a game which will likely decide the Big Ten champion. I say Terrelle Pryor pulls it off.
January 1st - Sugar Bowl (SEC Champion/Runner Up vs At Large) Alabama vs TCU
The National Championship game might as well be the SEC Championship as we will likely see 1 vs 2 battle it out. TCU will end up #3 in the BCS, so lets give them the runner up to the National Championship game, and maybe even the National Championship.
January 4th - Fiesta Bowl (Big 12 Champion/Runner Up vs At Large) Oklahoma State vs Boise State
Oklahoma State comfortably takes the #2 in the Big 12, but it is not so easy to be eligible for the BCS, as they barely manage a strong enough BCS ranking for eligibility. They play the undefeated Broncos who are also lucky to be in the BCS after TCU made it at a higher seed.
January 5th - Orange Bowl (ACC Champion/Runner Up vs At Large) Georgia Tech vs Cincinnati
Regardless of whether or not Cincinnati remains undefeated, they will be unable to leap-frog Texas, or TCU for that matter. They come and play the ACC champion Yellow Jackets. They play in the Orange Bowl instead of the Fiesta or Sugar Bowls because they deserve to play a conference champion.
January 7th - BCS National Championship Game (1 vs 2) Florida vs Texas
The battle for number one will be decided by the SEC Championship game. Do not expect to see Florida or Alabama lose in the next couple of weeks. Once they arrive, its a toss-up who will win. I shall go with the championship experienced quarterback over the first year starter. On the opponents side, I wanted to put TCU in there, believe you me, I wanted to see Florida vs. a mid-major, but Texas is #3 right now, and looking at their remaining schedule, @ Baylor, vs Kansas and @ Texas A&M, followed by a Big 12 Championship game against the inferior Big 12 North. Florida vs. Texas, exactly how it should have been last year.
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