Jayson Werth: All-Star Forever, Or One Year Wonder

Shanan H.Analyst INovember 5, 2009

NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 04:  Jayson Werth #28 of the Philadelphia Phillies looks on at the end of the top of the second inning against the New York Yankees in Game Six of the 2009 MLB World Series at Yankee Stadium on November 4, 2009 in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images

Watching the Phillies, and specifically Phillie right fielder Jayson Werth, has lead me to a conclusion.

Jayson Werth had a great year.  A stupendous year.  A gargantuaslly-wonderful year.  During the regular season, he smashed 36 homers, with a leaky .268 average.  He whiffed 156 times, and had a .506 slugging percentage.  For an all-star, all-time slugger, these are average statistics.  Here's why it will never, ever happen again:

After reviewing a substantial amount of replays, I have come to the conclusion that Jayson Werth's swing is built around the same fundamentals that Richie Sexson's was.  Check it out yourself.  Look for the similarities in the swings:





The only difference in these two swings is that Sexson gets his bat around a little faster. 

Just as a reminder, here's what happened to Sexson:

One year, he batted .263 with 39 homers, very similar to Werth, then he went ka-bloom!

The next three years, he acumulated 67 homers, and a measly .235 batting average, with 340 strikeouts.  Now, he no longer plays baseball.

I said earlier, the only difference in between these two swings is bat speed:  Werth's slightly lower bat speed only means he will fall worse. 

Trust me, Phillie fans:  Jayson Werth is a one year wonder.  Start shopping him, now.

I'm sure people will not agree with me.  If you don't, feel free to comment.  But I've got all of the evidence I need:  Werth's swing.

It's been a great ride, Jayson, but you're going to have to exit the rollar coaster.