Jayson Werth: All-Star Forever, Or One Year Wonder

Nick Laham/Getty Images

Watching the Phillies, and specifically Phillie right fielder Jayson Werth, has lead me to a conclusion.

Jayson Werth had a great year.  A stupendous year.  A gargantuaslly-wonderful year.  During the regular season, he smashed 36 homers, with a leaky .268 average.  He whiffed 156 times, and had a .506 slugging percentage.  For an all-star, all-time slugger, these are average statistics.  Here's why it will never, ever happen again:

After reviewing a substantial amount of replays, I have come to the conclusion that Jayson Werth's swing is built around the same fundamentals that Richie Sexson's was.  Check it out yourself.  Look for the similarities in the swings:

Sexson:

http://philadelphia.phillies.mlb.com/media/video.jsp?content_id=2522288

Werth:

http://philadelphia.phillies.mlb.com/media/video.jsp?content_id=6685465

The only difference in these two swings is that Sexson gets his bat around a little faster. 

Just as a reminder, here's what happened to Sexson:

One year, he batted .263 with 39 homers, very similar to Werth, then he went ka-bloom!

The next three years, he acumulated 67 homers, and a measly .235 batting average, with 340 strikeouts.  Now, he no longer plays baseball.

I said earlier, the only difference in between these two swings is bat speed:  Werth's slightly lower bat speed only means he will fall worse. 

Trust me, Phillie fans:  Jayson Werth is a one year wonder.  Start shopping him, now.

I'm sure people will not agree with me.  If you don't, feel free to comment.  But I've got all of the evidence I need:  Werth's swing.

It's been a great ride, Jayson, but you're going to have to exit the rollar coaster.

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