PHILADELPHIA (pick) 20 NY Giants 19

Over/Under Total: 44.0
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-01

Neither of these teams have proved much this season, as the Eagles' victories have all come against bad teams with a combined record of 7-27. The Giants have lost to New Orleans and Arizona and their only quality win came at Dallas.

New York tends to find a way to win on the road, as they are 20-3 ATS away from home when not favored by 7 points or more. Philadelphia, however, applies to a 71-30-5 ATS statistical match-up indicator and a 78-32-3 ATS statistical profile indicator.

My math model favors New York by 1/2 a point but I'll lean very slightly with the Eagles despite New York's good recent history on the road.

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