Odds Man Out: Predicting The NBA Opening Day

Ari WagnerContributor IOctober 27, 2009

BOSTON - MAY 18:  Paul Pierce #34 of the Boston Celtics and LeBron James #23 of the Cleveland Cavaliers look on in Game Seven of the Eastern Conference Semifinals during the 2008 NBA Playoffs at the TD Banknorth Garden May 18, 2008 in Boston, Massachusetts. Boston won 97-92. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

Odds Man Out: Predicting The NBA Opening Day

By Ari Wagner

The Cleveland Cavilers will host the Boston Celtics tonight, for what should be a battle of Eastern Conference juggernauts on day one of the season.

The Cavilers are a 5-point favorite entering tonight matchup, and Vegas could not have done a better job on that line.

The Celtics are coming to Cleveland and Shaq is making his regular season home debut, however, the Celtics are a seasoned group of veterans and look to take care of business on the road to start off their season.

 The over-under on the game is currently sitting at 183, which totals 91.5 points per team in a tie.

The Cavs will win the game, by a score of 96-88 which will put them over the point spread and the score over as well. So take the Cavs and the over for game one, even though the under has been dominating recently with Boston on the road vs. Cleveland.

The reasons I take the Cavs are because LaBron James is a much more dominant force and looks determined to prove something to the league and with the Celtics coming to town on opening night, this is a perfect opportunity to do so.

The reason I take them over is because the Celtics are going to be a more up tempo scoring team, and have a serious three point threat. While the Cavs have added some more offense and will be able to match Boston point for point while “The King” takes over late.

The Washington Wizards will go on the road to play the Dallas Mavericks tonight and will be an 8 1/2 –point underdog, with the final score over-under currently sitting at 209.

The Wizards and the Mavericks are both teams that can light the nets on fire with their high powered offenses, however due to some key injuries to Antwan Jamison of the Wizards and Josh Howard of the Mavericks the score will not be out of hand.

The Mavs win this game by a score of 105-95, a 10-point win to beat the spread but will come up short by 9 points on the total tally.

Take the Dallas Mavericks even as an 8 ½ point dog, and take the under on tonight spread.

The next matchup is the Houston Rockets coming to town to play the Portland Trail Blazers, the Blazers are an 8 ½-point favorite entering the game and the over under final score is sitting at 186.

Houston should lose this game, but not by more than 8 ½ points, however it will be close, the Trail Blazers are a better team in almost every aspect of the game and every position.

The Rockets would need to shut down Aldridge and Roy while having huge games by both Ariza and Scola and a nice added effort from Aaron Brooks. Even if all that happens I still see the Trail Blazers winning 99-92, which would total 191 points for the game.

My advice is to take the over and to take the Rockets + 8 ½ tonight vs. the Portland Trail Blazers in Portland.

 The final game is a battle at the Staples Center between the L.A. Lakers and the L.A. Clippers, the Lakers are a whopping 12-point favorite.

Most injuries are to big names like Baron Davis, Marcus Camby, Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol but all of them are listed as day-to-day. However, number one pick Blake Griffin will miss tonight’s game with a knee cap injury.

The Lakers will beat the Clippers in a high scoring affair, unless of course the game gets out of hand and the bench decides to roll in and kill the odds for anyone betting.

I would take the over and the Clippers, they are a 12-point dog, but they look to have a decent team this year, and Baron Davis, if healthy will have a big game alongside Eric Gordon in the back court tonight.