Louisiana Tech 29 UTAH ST. (-1.5) 25
The opening line on this game was Louisiana Tech by 1 1/2 points and my math model also favors the Bulldogs by 1 1/2 points. However, Utah State is now favored by 1 1/2 points, so the line value is with Louisiana Tech here and the technical analysis also sides with the Bulldogs.
Louisiana Tech applies to a 50-14-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator while Utah State applies to a 51-104-3 ATS negative momentum situation that is based on the Aggies' 3 game losing streak. Utah State also applies to a negative 185-301-4 ATS situation. I'll consider Louisiana Tech a Strong Opinion in this game.
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