Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For RUTGERS (-10.5) @ ARMY

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse more stories
Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For RUTGERS (-10.5) @ ARMY
(Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

Rutgers (-10.5) 21 ARMY 14

Over/Under Total: 38.5
05:00 PM Pacific Time Friday, Oct-23

Rutgers is not a good team and certainly don't deserve to be favored by double-digits on the road tonight. In 4 games against Division 1A opposition the Scarlet Knights have been out-gained 4.7 yards per play to 5.8 yppl despite facing a schedule that is just average in difficulty with two good opponents (Cincy and Pitt) and two bad opponents (Maryland and FIU). Rutgers did beat their two sub-par opponents by an average score of 28.5 to 14, but they weren't that impressive in doing so, out-gaining Florida International and Maryland just 5.0 yppl to 4.5 yppl.

The reason they beat those bad teams by an average of 14.5 points is because they were a fortunate +8 in turnovers in those two games. The fact that they were an average of +4 in turnovers against two bad teams and only beat those teams by an average of 14.5 points really tells the story - Rutgers is a bad team.

Army is a bad team too, getting out-gained 4.4 yppl to 4.9 yppl by an easy schedule of opponents that would combine to get out-gained 6.0 yppl to 4.7 yppl by an average team. However, my math model only favors Rutgers by 7 points in this game and I'll lean with Army plus the points.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 5 NCAA Best Bets and 6 NCAA Strong Opinions this week, and 2 NFL Best Bets and 3 NFL Strong Opinion!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

Follow me on Facebook and Twitter for updates on Best Bet releases

Follow Rutgers Football from B/R on Facebook

Follow Rutgers Football from B/R on Facebook and get the latest updates straight to your newsfeed!

Team StreamTM

Rutgers Football

Subscribe Now

By signing up for our newsletter, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.

Thanks for signing up.