ATLANTA, Ga - The weather is getting cooler and SEC football is getter hotter. The big battles in the SEC are for second and third position in each division.
Unless some upsets happen this weekend, it looks like a re-match of Florida vs Alabama in the SEC Championship game.
Huge games this weekend for Ole Miss and Auburn. Both teams need to play well or we will be dealing with some restless fans. There is pressure for Coach Spurrier to beat Vandy, a feat that has escaped him the last two years.
I’m at 46-10 for my SEC football picks which is 82% for the year.
Here are my picks for Saturday:
SEC Upset of the Week. Arkansas vs Ole Miss in Oxford. I've been picking upsets all year and this one is no different. The odds makers like Ole Miss as a 6.5 point favorite playing at home. Granted, the Rebels must win this game to stay relevant in the SEC West chase. Whenever a team is backed into a corner, it’s going to be a good fight. This game will be no different.
I haven't seen Ole Miss put together a great game yet. Preseason hype should be over. Arkansas fought toe to toe with Florida and ran over Auburn. I'm recognizing a trend here.
Arkansas lit it up in Gainesville last week and would have won if the officiating had not been horrific. Coach Petrino needs to let the bad calls go and get his team focused on beating Ole Miss. I like Arkansas but don’t leave the television until the game is over. Hawgs pull the upset 31-27.
SEC Rivalry Game of the Week. Alabama vs Tennessee in Tuscaloosa . The Alabama defense is daunting. Their defensive line attacks, the linebackers assault and the cornerbacks are aggressive. Probably the best defense in the country. Tennessee had two weeks to prepare for this rivalry game.
The Vols have some new confidence and if they can execute some passes could make this game close. The Tide is more vulnerable after their performance against the Gamecocks. The Tide turned the ball over four times, was penalized 113 yards on ten infractions and had a difficult time completing passes.
The Vols will fight with everything they have and will do a better job against the run than South Carolina did. Should be fun to watch. Tide wins this one 24-16.
SEC West Game of the Week. Auburn vs LSU in Baton Rouge. I’ve watched the air come out of Auburn for the last two weeks. The back to back losses to Arkansas and Kentucky were surprising to say the least. Auburn needs this win for Coach Chizik to be considered a good SEC coach.
Another frustrating loss and the Auburn fan base starts getting mad and a little crazy. LSU has a strong enough defense to shut Auburn down but the LSU offense needs to score some points. LSU at home is hard to beat. With two weeks to prepare LSU wins this one 30-21.
SEC East-West Game. Florida vs Miss State in Starkville. This Gator team is not yet at full speed but they always find a way to win. Coach Mullen at Miss State was Coach Meyer’s right hand man for eight years; so he knows his tendencies. This game would be a trophy for Coach Mullen if he pulled the upset. Gators win 28-14.
SEC East vs Sun Belt. Kentucky vs Louisiana-Monroe in Lexington . Kentucky upset Auburn last week and turned some heads. The Warhawks are ranked #2 in the Sun Belt and will put up a fight. Put it down as another win but a fish fight for the Cats 21-18.
SEC East Match-Up. South Carolina vs Vandy in Columbia . The Gamecocks gave Alabama a good fight in Tuscaloosa, but quarterback Stephen Garcia couldn’t complete the passes that could have won the game.
Vandy played the Georgia Bulldogs pretty well until the fourth quarter. Vandy has upset Spurrier for the last two years. I don’t see it happening a third time. Gamecocks win 21-16.
Another great weekend for SEC Football. One more side story to watch, the Gators offense. The Gator's offense hasn’t been kicking on all cylinders and I believe it's because Coach Mullen isn’t calling the plays.
Coach Meyer would like nothing better than to put up a big score against his former play caller. Should be fun to watch their expressions during the game.
Until next time, I will see you on the ball field.
Original Article Published on SEC Sports Report.
Jay Holgate is an SEC analyst, freelance writer and life coach based in Atlanta, GA. He can be heard around the South on sports radio.