Dr. Bob Previews WISCONSIN (-2.5) Vs. #11 IOWA

Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 16, 2009

MADISON, WI - SEPTEMBER 26: J.J. Watt #99 of the Wisconsin Badgers gets ready on the line against the Michigan State Spartans on September 26, 2009 at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

WISCONSIN (-2.5) 24 #11 Iowa 23

Over/Under Total: 47.5
09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-17

Iowa comes into this game unbeaten and Wisconsin is looking to bounce back from their first loss of the year, a closer than the score indicates 13-31 setback at Ohio State (they were out-gained only 4.1 yppl to 4.8 yppl by the Buckeyes).

The Badgers have faced a tough schedule of teams and have out-gained those opponents 5.9 yards per play to 5.3 yppl while rating at 0.6 yppl better than average on offense and 0.3 yppl better than average defensively.

Iowa, meanwhile, has also faced a tougher than average schedule and out-gained those teams 5.5 yppl to 4.8 yppl while rating at 0.2 yppl better than average on offense and a very good 0.9 yppl better than average on defense (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average team).

These teams match up pretty evenly and my math model favors Wisconsin by 1 point.

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