UFC 104 Predictions: The Wong Answers

Darren WongSenior Analyst IOctober 16, 2009

MANCHESTER, UNITED KINGDOM - APRIL 21: Lyoto Machida of Brazil and David Heath of England in action during a Welterweight bout of the Ultimate Fighting Championship at the Manchester Evening News Arena on April 21, 2007 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Gary M. Prior/Getty Images).

Last weekend, self-described hack E. Spencer Kyte's slave typewriter monkeys correctly predicted the winner in an impressive five out of ten total matchups at WEC 43. The monkeys hailed this achievement as "tremendous. "

I applaud the monkeys on their effort, and issue my own friendly challenge to E. Spencer Kyte's monkeys for the upcoming UFC 104 card. I'm even going to make my picks first. Only this time, I'm going to demand a little more out of the monkeys.

I invite all other readers to submit their own picks as well in the comments section here. I'll name the winner in my UFC 104 obituary.

Rules: Pick the winner, method, and round.

One point for picking the correct winner, or three points for correctly predicting a draw. The correct winner must be picked for any additional point possibilities.

One point for picking the correct round.

One point for picking the correct method. Possible methods for scoring purposes are (t)KO, submission, or decision.

And now, without further adieu, my picks:

Chase Gormley vs. Stefan Struve

Struve's biggest vulnerability is in the striking department, but Gormley is more of a wrestler. Struve's length might pose some problems for Gormley, but I think Gormley's wrestling might be enough to avoid a submission and earn the decision.

Gormley by decision.

Razak Al-Hassan vs. Kyle Kingsbury

Razak can win this one in any fashion he wants, but his best best bet might be to take advantage of Kingsbury on the mat.

Razak Al-Hassan by round two submission

Jorge Rivera vs. Rob Kimmons

Didn't waste many neurons on this one.

Jorge Rivera by round one TKO

Yushin Okami vs. Chael Sonnen

The battle of the two boring wrestlers, but Okami is bigger, and better-rounded. Okami could win this fight by submission, TKO, or decision, while Sonnen's only shot is to eek out a decision.

Yushin Okami over Sonnen by round three TKO

Ryan Bader vs. Eric Schafer

Bader should have a power advantage and a wrestling advantage. I see Bader being able to win this fight on the feet, but he might just take this to the ground, work for position, and finish with those giant punches.

Ryan Bader by round two KO

Patrick Barry vs Antoni Hardonk

Hardonk should have the grappling advantage, but probably won't get much of a chance to use it. His BJJ should be superior, but it won't matter if he doesn't try to take Barry down. Both fighters will fear the power of the other, but Barry will get the nod in the decision.

Patrick Barry by decision

Anthony Johnson vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida

Anthony Johnson is a wrestler with explosive striking ability, while Yoshida is a Judo master. Yoshida has a decent shot at either getting the submission, or out-working Johnson on the ground, but I don't think that will happen.

The last time Yoshida fought an explosive wrestler like this was when he fought Josh Koscheck. Expect something similar to happen this time.

Anthony Johnson by round two TKO

Spencer Fisher vs. Joe Stevenson

Fisher has the better striking, but Stevenson should be leagues beyond him in terms of wrestling and BJJ. Fisher has got a puncher's chance, but don't expect him to land that big flying knee that he landed on Matt Wiman.

Joe Stevenson by round two submission

Josh Neer vs. Gleison Tibau

Neer is a crafty, scrambly fighter, but Tibau should have the advantage when this fight inevitably hits the mat.

Gleison Tibau over Neer by decision

Ben Rothwell vs. Cain Velasquez

Rothwell is a solid opponent with a well-rounded skillset, but Velasquez is a machine getting better and better every time he fights. After getting criticized about his lack of finishing power in his last outing, he'll silence his critics in this outing with a decisive beatdown.

Cain Velasquez over Ben Rothwell by round two TKO

Lyoto Machida vs. Mauricio Rua

Nobody has found a way to counter Lyoto's style. In this fight, finally the hunter has become the hunted, as Rua is no-doubt doing everything he can to try to find a way to solve Machida.

Rua has great Muay Thai, but Rua's best chance might just be to take Machida down, and work for a submission.

Look for Lyoto to use his wrestling to keep the fight standing until Rua loses his patience. When that happens, it will be over quickly.

Lyoto Machida over Rua by round 2 KO

No monkeys were harmed in the production of these picks.


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