Three Reasons On Why a Brett Rogers' Victory Seems Unlikely

Sterling SpiarsAnalyst IOctober 14, 2009

It seems that every heavyweight fighter in the world wants to be the one to legitimately defeat Fedor Emelianenko. When Emelianenko signed with Strikeforce, everyone threw their name into the hat of potential opponents.

The honors of welcoming Fedor into Strikeforce eventually wound up in the embracing arms of Brett "The Grim" Rogers.

After making short work of former UFC champion, Andrei Arlovski, Rogers knows that a victory here would propel him towards the top of the heavyweight mountain, as well as earning himself some much-deserved recognition.

How could you not take note on Rogers' performances, he has acquired a perfect record of 10-0, finishing all of his opponents with his phenomenal punching power.

However, he is fighting one of the greatest fighters known to date. If Rogers wants to shock the world on November 7th, he needs to work on a few areas of uncertainty.


Boxing Defense

Rogers' resume showcases his heavy hands and aggressiveness, which usually spells lights-out for his opponent.

Upon further review, there is a noticeable kink in the armor of Rogers' stand-up. His hands are relatively low in just about every fight he has had. Even though he generates a substantial amount of power this way, well-timed counters have buckled Rogers from time to time.

With his aggressive nature, this may spell disaster for Rogers as Emelianenko is as patient as they come. The only thing that might save Rogers in this department is his granite chin.

Does Rogers have a Ground Game?

Finishing all ten of his fights in impressive fashion doesn't hide the fact that Rogers has yet to be tested from his back. Some of his opponents have tried, but his freakishly large body makes it incredibly difficult to take Rogers down.

In this fight, it'll be tough for Rogers to keep this one standing. Emelianenko is very skilled in judo and has taken down much larger fighters in his sleep. Add in Emelianenko's world-renowned sambo and the throat-lump just appeared inside of Rogers' neck.

The size of Rogers may be his only chance in this unfamiliar territory, as Emelianenko is one of the smaller heavyweights to hop on the scale.


Well, it may not be an area that Rogers can immediately work on, but it is also his biggest weakness going in to this fight. Even though he continues to improve in every fight, it's hard to believe a 22 second knock-out over Andrei Arlovski holds any significance.

Emelianenko has fought and defeated a laundry-list of skilled fighters and holds a huge advantage in experience. He has fought a large variety of skill sets and body types, the same can't be said for Rogers.

Emelianenko is also one of the better fighters in terms of game-plans, always attacking his opponent's weakness while avoiding their strengths.

Not to knock-off Rogers' game-planning but he likes to stand and bang, whether he's fighting a submission specialist or a crippling striker.


Brett Rogers has a chance to sky-rocket his way towards stardom. His fight with Fedor Emelianenko will be aired live on CBS, in front of Emelianenko fans and haters alike, as well as a new array of fans looking to see what all of the buzz is about.

Can Rogers dethrone Emelianenko from his P4P throne?

Only time and patience will be able to tell, which incidentally, are the two attributes that Rogers must utilize to win this fight.

It's to bad that his areas of concern might over-shadow his chances at success.