Pac-10 Football Against the Spread: Odds Against Cal Breaking Losing Streak

Grant Marek by Contributor Written on October 14, 2009
BERKELEY, CA - OCTOBER 03:  Members of the California Golden Bears band look on against the USC Trojans at Memorial Stadium on October 3, 2009 in Berkeley, California.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images) (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

Pac-10 Football Against the Spread joined the Bears on their bye week last week but returns to action in Week Seven to find Cal staring down the possibility of Jeff Tedford's third three-game losing streak in eight years.

Both previous losing trios came in the Bears' dismal 2007 collapse—and this season feels a lot like that one.

Pac-10 Football Against the Spread takes aim at winning week No. 1 this week and plans to ride USC, UCLA, and Stanford to get there.

 

This season: 6-19-1

All picks against the spread.
Lines taken from Yahoo.com.

 

Cal (minus-3.5) at UCLA

Jeff Tedford has never won a game at UCLA. Never. With Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the Bears fell by three in 2003. With Joe Ayoob under center, they lost by seven in 2005, and with Nate Longshore by nine in 2007.

Kevin Riley likely won't be the one to get Tedford over the hump. Expect Jahvid Best to have a big day for the Bears, but without a passing game to complement the run, Cal either barely ekes one out or loses late. 

I'll take: UCLA

 

USC (minus-10) at Notre Dame

I think people want the Fighting Irish to be better than they actually are. While they are relevant for the first time in a long time, they aren't coming within two scores of the Trojans.

This is the game that gets Pete Carroll's team back in the BCS National Championship picture—expect him to make a statement.

I'll take: USC

 

Washington (plus-6.5) at Arizona State

Washington has proved it can beat bad teams this season, and Arizona State qualifies.

Their close loss to Georgia proved to be less impressive after the 'Dogs fell 45-19 to Tennessee, and their 13-point win against Washington State was hardly a convincing win against one of the worst teams in college football.

The Huskies still haven't won on the road, but I think they get off the snide (or at least cover) in Tempe.

I'll take: Washington

 

Stanford (plus-5) at Arizona

Stanford's only struggles this season have come on the road, despite an impressive road winning percentage for Jim Harbaugh since he arrived on the Farm.

After a heartbreaker against the Huskies last week, the Wildcats should oblige the Cardinal. Giving up two touchdowns in the final three minutes isn't something you shake off easily.

I'll take: Stanford

 

Another tip of the cap to Jon Wilner’s College Sports Hotline, the inspiration for "Pac-10 Football Against the Spread." Follow Grant Marek on Twitter: @Grant_Marek

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written on October 14, 2009 Preview/Prediction

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