New Projected BCS Standings: Florida Seizes No. 1 Spot

Bleacher ReportContributor IOctober 12, 2009

BATON ROUGE, LA - OCTOBER 10:  Quarterback Tim Tebow #15 of the Florida Gators celebrates their 13-3 win over the Louisiana State University Tigers with his teammates at Tiger Stadium on October 10, 2009 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

One final week before the first BCS standings means just one final set of projected BCS standings, this week coming straight from the most reliable source for simulating the formula, the BCS Guru.

This time, Florida makes the huge jump to No. 1 that everyone had expected them to already hold at the beginning of the season. This jump was helped by their victory over LSU, who came in at No. 2 on last week’s projected BCS and also held the No. 1 spot in all available BCS computer rankings.

Alabama, likely on the strength of their inter-conference rivalry game against Ole Miss, stays ahead of Texas to claim the No. 2 spot, and Virginia Tech, already considered the best one-loss team in the nation, also stays ahead of the Longhorns at No. 3.

Texas does hold steady at No. 4, followed by Boise State, BCS buster extraordinaire.

Two one-loss teams, USC and LSU, come in at No. 6 and No. 7 respectively, as both still have a legitimate shot of making some noise late in the season if both are able to win out.

Three teams that will likely need a little help from the top follow the Tigers. Ohio State, Cincinnati, and Iowa will probably need a fair few teams to lose ahead of them to make it into the national title picture.

TCU and Miami (FL) round out the top 12 of the projected BCS standings and will need more than a little help from here on out.

Next week brings the arrival of the first real BCS standings, but without further ado, the current projected BCS standings, as provided by the BCS Guru, and available at BCS Know How, with a 94.166 percent confidence:

Rank Team BCS Score
1
Florida
.9862
2
Alabama
.9453
3
Virginia Tech
.8262
4
Texas
.8108
5
Boise State
.7904
6
USC
.7120
7
LSU
.6995
8
Ohio State
.6727
9
Cincinnati
.6562
10
Iowa
.6492
11
TCU
.6424
12
Miami (FL)
.5584

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