Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For OHIO (-3.5) @ AKRON

Robert Stoll

Correspondent Written on October 10, 2009

COLUMBUS, OH - SEPTEMBER 06: Boo Jackson #8 of the Ohio Bobcats moves as he looks to pass the ball during the game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium on September 6, 2008 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Ohio (-3.5) 29 AKRON 20

Over/Under Total: 52.0

03:00 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-10

Ohio is a pretty good team. The Bobcats are 3-2 with their two losses being by a combined 8 points to Connecticut and Tennessee. They're certainly much better than and Akron team that is struggling offensively with their backup quarterback at the helm.

The Zips have averaged just 4.3 yards per play in two games since starting quarterback Chris Jacquemain was suspended from the team (against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team) and Ohio's stout defense (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl) should keep that attack in check.

Ohio's offense has been great in 3 games since veteran Theo Scott took over the starting quarterback job for an injured Boo Jackson, as the Bobcats have averaged 6.7 yppl, including 8.4 yppl last week against Bowling Green. Akron, meanwhile, has allowed 5.6 yppl to teams that would average only 5.1 yppl against an average team.

My math model gives Ohio a solid 55.1% chance of covering at -3 1/2 points.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 9 NCAA Best Bets and 2 NCAA Strong Opinions this week!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

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written on October 10, 2009 Preview/Prediction