Texas (-32) vs. Colorado:
Texas was in control of last year’s meeting in Boulder (a 38-14 win) after barely 10 minutes elapsed, and I don’t see a mistake-prone, defensively-challenged Colorado team providing much resistance in Austin.
Prediction: TEXAS 48, Colorado 13
Ole Miss vs. Alabama (-5):
Alabama has owned this rivalry, and they currently have a five-game win streak over the Rebels. However, each of the last four meetings has been decided by four points or less, and I expect this one to be close as well.
But as has been the case in each of those four close encounters, Ole Miss will be left disappointed.
Prediction: Alabama 24, OLE MISS 21
Virginia Tech (-13 1/2) vs. Boston College:
Virginia Tech has beaten Boston College in the ACC Championship Game in back-to-back seasons, but the Eagles have won three straight and four out of the last five regular season meetings between these two former Big East foes.
Perhaps they’ll meet in the ACC title game for a third straight season (hooray?), but Va. Tech will be going for the season sweep if that does happen.
The Eagles will find the going tough against Va. Tech’s defense, and they’ve also given up back-to-back 300-yard games through the air, which is good news for Tyrod Taylor’s improved passing skills (well, if last week’s performance against Duke is any indication) and Virginia Tech’s hopes to beat BC with a balanced offense.
Prediction: VIRGINIA TECH 28, Boston College 13
Ohio State (-16) vs. Wisconsin:
Considering that Wisconsin comes in at 5-0, I’m a little surprised that the Buckeyes are favored by more than two touchdowns.
The Badgers have won in three of their last four trips to Columbus (1999, 2001, 2004, lost in 2007), and though I don’t see them being able to pull off the upset, I see it being a little closer than the oddsmakers do.
If Wisconsin can avoid mistakes, they can move the ball at least a little on the Buckeyes, but in the end, I still foresee a double-digit win for the home team.
Prediction: Ohio State 27, Wisconsin 17
Air Force vs. TCU (-10):
Three of their four meetings since TCU joined the Mountain West have seen the Horned Frogs win by 24 or more points, but the last time TCU went to Colorado Springs, Air Force won 20-17 in 2007, and they can pull this one out as well.
TCU’s known for their defense, and they’ll bring it against Air Force’s potent rushing attack, but they’ll be facing a defense that has already scored five touchdowns this season.
And though the Falcons came out on the short end in their two toughest games, they led at Minnesota going into the fourth and held Navy to only 16 points, which is no small feat.
Scoring opportunities won’t be plentiful, and we might see as many (or more) defensive touchdowns as offensive touchdowns, but this one’s going to be my big upset special of the week.
Prediction: AIR FORCE 20, TCU 16
For my picks on more than 20 other college football games this weekend, check out the original post here: http://theredzonereport.com/2009/10/08/college-football-picks-oct-8-10/2868/.