Dr. Bob Previews #21 MISSISSIPPI (-9.5) @ VANDERBILT
#21 Mississippi (-9.5) 24 VANDERBILT 14
Over/Under Total: 45.0
04:00 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-03
Mississippi has been a major disappointment, as their potentially potent attack has been just 0.1 yards per play better than average in their first 3 games (5.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team).
The Rebels were held to just 4.0 yppl and 10 points by a very good South Carolina defense last week and Vanderbilt's secondary has been the 3rd best in the nation so far, allowing just 3.0 yards per pass play to quarterbacks that would average 5.3 yppp against an average defensive team.
It certainly would be no surprise to see Jevan Snead struggle again this week, but running backs Brandon Bolden and Dexter McCluster should produce good numbers on the ground against a Vandy defensive front that's yielded 5.0 yards per rushing play to teams that would only average 4.3 yprp against an average team.
Vanderbilt was able to move the ball in games against horrible defensive teams Western Carolina and Rice, but the Commodores were limited to 3.0 yppl in games against LSU and Miss State and they'll struggle against a good Ole' Miss stop unit that's been 0.5 yppl better than average so far this season while giving up just 12 points per game.
My math favors Mississippi by 9 1/2 points and I have no interest in the side, but I do lean with the under.
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