SEC Picks Week Five: Will UGA Roll or Roll Over against LSU?

Tim CroleySenior Analyst IOctober 2, 2009

ATHENS, GA - SEPTEMBER 12:  UGA VII, mascot of the Georgia Bulldogs, walks on the field before facing the South Carolina Gamecocks at Sanford Stadium on September 12, 2009 in Athens, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Week Four started slow when the projected winner of the Thursday night game went the wrong way for me. However, I bounced back to go 7-1 for the week and improve my overall record to 32-3.


Week Four Recap:


Auburn found themselves in another wet one against Ball State. The whole game appeared sloppy for a while, but Auburn pulled away in the end, winning 54-30. I had the Tigers winning 48-7.


Florida suffered the scare of the century when Tim Tebow went down with a concussion against Kentucky. The question of the week remains: Why was Tebow in the game while Florida was up more than 30 points? The Gators continued to roll, crushing the Wildcats 41-7, while I had them winning 34-13.


Georgia slipped past Arizona State 20-17. What a close game. I was expecting a Georgia win by the tune of 37-28.


LSU displayed true strength and determination against Mississippi State as they made a goal line stand in the last minutes of the game to preserve the victory 30-26. I was predicting a 30-17 Tiger win.


Ole Miss was ranked in the top-five, but that didn’t stop South Carolina from pulling off the biggest upset and win in the history of the school. Thursday night is owned by the Gamecocks as the improved their record on Thursday nights to 6-2 as the beat the Rebels 16-10. In my only loss of the week, I had Ole Miss winning 30-10.


Ohio gave Tennessee all they could handle in a 34-23 Vols victory. I had UT by a much larger margin of 38-6.


Vanderbilt proved too much for Rice as the beat the Owls 36-17. I had the ‘Dores by a score of 24-14.


In the Game of the Week the college football world was further impressed by the play of Greg McElroy and the Alabama Crimson Tide. Arkansas came into the game boasting big offensive numbers, but left the game having been shut down. The final score of 35-7 was much wider than the predicted score of 38-21 in favor of the Tide.


Week Four Summary: I really didn’t have any close picks as I usually tend to have. There were a couple of games that were much closer than I anticipated, and a couple of games that were not as close as expected. At any rate, well move on to…  



Week Five Picks:


Florida is the only team with a bye this week. Urban must be thanking his lucky stars after the Tebow incident. All they need is a week of rest and then put Tim right back in there, right? We’ll all see next week in Baton Rouge.


No. 3 Alabama 4-0 (1-0) at Kentucky 2-1 (0-1)


This will be the Crimson Tide’s first true road game of the season. So, things could be a bit more out-of-sync than what we’ve seen the first four weeks. They’ve scored at least 30 points in every game so far, and I think that trend continues.


Kentucky battled strong against Florida, but they just don’t have what it takes to compete with the boys at the top of the SEC. In fact, most UK fans are gearing up for the round ball about now. They simply will not be in a position to keep pace with Alabama.


Prediction: ‘Bama 34 UK 10



Auburn 4-0 (1-0) at Tennessee 2-2 (0-1)


Auburn looks to be much improved from last year; however there a couple of things to keep in mind. First, this will be their first road game. Second, Auburn started 4-1 last season before falling apart. I’m not saying that will happen this year, but I do say this to keep everyone grounded in their expectations.


As for Tennessee, they will have home field on their side, as well as the experience of playing against the number one team in the country prior to this game. So, they should benefit from how well they played against the potent Gator offense. These tow things, will make the difference got the Vols.


Prediction: Tennessee 20 Auburn 17



Arkansas 1-2 (0-2) vs. Texas A&M 3-0 (0-0)


The Hogs struggled last week against a very good defense. Their highly praised offense came to a halt. The question is, can they get it going against the Aggies of A&M?


The boys from Texas A&M look to spoil the day for Bobby and his Razorbacks. The only problem they have is the level of competition they’ve played may not be as good as the level Arkansas has faced in UGA and ‘Bama.


This will be a classic showdown, but in the end the Hogs have already face enough adversity to prepare them for this one. Texas A&M, on the other hand, has struggled against weaker opponents in their 3-0 start. In tight one I have…


Prediction: Ark 35 A&M 31



No. 25 Georgia Tech 3-1 (2-1) at Mississippi State 2-1 (1-1)


Georgia Tech, though now an ACC contender, is no stranger to the SEC. The Yellow Jackets were once a power among the teams of the south. Come Saturday, Paul Johnson will prove they are not far from becoming a power once again.


The Bulldogs came up just short of knocking off LSU last week. In reality, they all but beat LSU. If not for an interception and a punt returned for touchdowns, State would have been the victor. Alas, I’m afraid the air has been deflated from the Mississippi State Bulldogs.


Prediction: Tech 31 MSU 23



SC State 3-0 (1-0) at South Carolina 3-1 (1-1)


Do I really need to elaborate on this one? By half-time Spurrier should be reading Golf Digest on the sideline, in a lawn chair, with the visor of course.


Prediction: USC 42 SC State 6



No. 21 Ole Miss 2-1 (0-1) at Vanderbilt 2-2 (0-2)


The Rebel Nation virtually disappeared from these parts once South Carolina shocked them last Thursday. What was once national championship hopes now seems like an uphill battle for Mississippi to get back in the hunt.


Vanderbilt is, well, Vanderbilt. And that is about as polite as I can be. Don’t expect any upsets this week in Nashville.


Prediction: Ole Miss 28 Vandy 7



Game of the Week: No. 4 LSU 4-0 (2-0) at No. 18 UGA 3-1 (2-0)


This one should be fun to watch. These two teams, in my opinion, match up very well.


LSU has sort of an “unknown factor” surrounding them.


They struggled in three games that were thought to be won with some ease. Without the goal line stand against Mississippi State last week, these Tigers would probably be looking at a much tougher road trip to Athens.


Some attribute this to Les being conservative with his play calling and such in the first few games, just trying to fly under the radar. Well, I’ve got news for the Bayou Bengal fans: being ranked number four in the nation is not the way to fly under the radar.


Georgia is much the same in a lot of ways. Their opening game against Oklahoma State was dreadful to say the least. Scoring for the Bulldogs seemed impossible in that first game, but then it almost seemed effortless against South Carolina and Arkansas.


My question is what happened to SEC defense? High flying offenses seem to be taking over at will. And even with the absence of Moreno and Stafford, these Bulldogs seem to be clicking with Cox and Green.


Two very talented teams will square off in the SEC Game of the Week on CBS Saturday afternoon. When the dust settles, I see the Bulldogs thanking their home crowd for the support that will help carry them through to victory.


Prediction: UGA 41 LSU 35