Dr. Bob Previews SOUTHERN MISS (-10) @ UAB

Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 1, 2009

NEW ORLEANS - DECEMBER 21: Quarterback Austin Davis #12 of the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles looks to throw a pass against the Troy Trojans during the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl on December 21, 2008 at the Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Davis was named MVP after defeating the Trojans 30-27 in overtime. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

Southern Miss (-10.0) 37 UAB 23

Over/Under Total: 58.5
05:00 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Oct-01

Southern Miss will be without star RB Damion Fletcher and star WR DeAndre Brown tonight, but they still have enough offense to score a good number of points on a bad UAB defense that's allowed 6.5 yards per play to teams that would combine to average only 5.0 yppl against an average team.

Southern Miss is still an average offensive teams even without their 2 stars and the Eagles' defense has been very good in allowing just 4.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average defensive team. That includes holding a very good Kansas offense to just 5.2 yppl last week.

UAB has a good offense that has generated 6.3 yppl and rates at 0.8 yppl better than average but the Southern Miss defense is also 0.8 yppl better than average.

My math favored Southern Miss by 17 points with Brown and Fletcher and I make it 14 points without them.

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