South American WCQ: A Dog Fight: A Predicton

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South American WCQ: A Dog Fight: A Predicton
(Photo by Lefty Shivambu/Gallo Images for 2010 FIFA World Cup Organising Committee South Africa)

The South American qualifiers are getting intense. It is nail biting and looks like it will be a 3 horse race.
The 3 horses here are : Ecuador, Argentina and Uruguay. The 4th and the 5th which do have an outside chance are
Columbia and Venezuela. There are only 2 rounds of matches left and lets take a look at what is in store for us.

Here is an analysis of what might happen in the exciting month of October:

Here is how the teams stand right now with their goal differences in the brackets.
ECU - 23 (-2)
ARG - 22 (+1)
URU - 21 (+8)
VEN - 21 (-5)
COL - 20 (-4)

I have 3 sets of predictions, there could be more, but I feel one of these 3 will happen.
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First set of predictions
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=====================================================
The FIRST ROUND 10/10/2009
=====================================================
COL vs CHI - 1-1 (Chile has not qualified yet)
ECU vs URU - 1-0 (This is the most critical game)
ARG vs PER - 2-0 (Argentina might just win)
VEN vs PAR - 1-1 (Not sure, Paraguay has already qualified)

ECU - 26 (-1)
ARG - 25 (+3)
URU - 21 (+7)
VEN - 22 (-5)
COL - 21 (-4)

=====================================================
THE SECOND ROUND 10/14/2009
=====================================================
PAR vs COL - 2-1 (If the 1st round is true above, Columbia is already out)
BRA vs VEN - 2-0 (Brazil at home, win)
CHI vs ECU - 2-0 (Chile wants to make sure. Critical for them & at home)
URU vs ARG - 2-2 (This I am not sure, going with a draw)

ECU - 26 (-3)
ARG - 26 (+3)
URU - 22 (+7)
VEN - 22 (-7)
COL - 21 (-5)

Countries to qualify - Chile & Argentina. 5th place - Ecuador

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Second set of predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------
=====================================================
The FIRST ROUND 10/10/2009
=====================================================
COL vs CHI - 1-1 (Chile has not qualified yet)
ECU vs URU - 1-1 (This is the most critical game. Opting for a draw now.)
ARG vs PER - 2-0 (Argentina might just win)
VEN vs PAR - 1-1 (Not sure, Paraguay has already qualified)

ECU - 24 (-2)
ARG - 25 (+3)
URU - 22 (+8)
VEN - 22 (-5)
COL - 21 (-4)

=====================================================
THE SECOND ROUND 10/14/2009
=====================================================
PAR vs COL - 2-1 (If the 1st round is true above, Columbia is already out)
BRA vs VEN - 2-0 (Brazil at home, win)
CHI vs ECU - 2-0 (Chile wants to make sure. Critical for them & at home)
URU vs ARG - 2-2 (This I am not sure, going with a draw)

ECU - 24 (-4)
ARG - 26 (+3)
URU - 23 (+8)
VEN - 22 (-7)
COL - 21 (-5)

Countries to qualify - Chile & Argentina. 5th place - Ecuador

--------------------------------------------------------------------
Third set of predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------
=====================================================
The FIRST ROUND 10/10/2009
=====================================================
COL vs CHI - 1-1 - (Chile has not qualified yet)
ECU vs URU - 1-2 - (This is the most critical game. Uruguay wins.)
ARG vs PER - 2-0 - (Argentina might just win)
VEN vs PAR - 2-1 - (Not sure, Paraguay has already qualified. Ven wins)

ECU - 23 (-3)
ARG - 25 (+3)
URU - 24 (+9)
VEN - 24 (-4)
COL - 21 (-4)

=====================================================
THE SECOND ROUND 10/14/2009
=====================================================
PAR vs COL - 2-1 (If the 1st round is true above, Columbia is already out)
BRA vs VEN - 2-0 (Brazil at home, win)
CHI vs ECU - 2-0 (Chile's game to qualify. Critical for them & at home)
URU vs ARG - 2-1 (Uruguay wins if Argentina continues current form)

ECU - 23 (-5)
ARG - 25 (+2)
URU - 27 (+10)
VEN - 24 (-6)
COL - 21 (-5)

Countries to qualify - Chile & Uruguay. 5th place - Argentina

Based on the above analysis, this is what looks likely

1. Chile is certain to be the 3rd country to qualify.
2. Columbia may not have a realistic chance and will miss.
3. Argentina must win against Peru and rest might fall favorably for them.
4. Uruguay and Ecuador are in for a dog fight. Their game against each other most critical.

Let me know what you all think...

WE ARE IN FOR A MOUTH WATERING OCTOBER!!!

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