Boise State in Good Shape for a BCS Championship

Ryan MetcalfAnalyst ISeptember 29, 2009

BOISE, ID - SEPTEMBER 3:  Kellen Moore #11 of the Boise State throws a pass under pressure by T.J. Ward #2 of the Oregon Ducks in second quarter of the game on September 3, 2009 at Broncos Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Boise State won the game 19-8. (Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)

You think I’m crazy, right? Let me tell you why I’m not, and then you can tell me why.

Boise State is at No. 5 and still going strong. It’s hard to believe it’s the first time they have been in the top five in the regular season considering all their success.

They have shown they can beat the big schools, and they deserve a chance if they go undefeated.

I also think most of the teams in front of them will lose, giving the Broncos a good chance.

Nick Saban has never had consecutive double-digit winning seasons, and I don’t think Alabama is that good. They do have to play LSU, which means either the Crimson Tide or the Tigers should move just outside the top five.

Alabama also has tough opponents in Auburn, South Carolina, and Tennessee. If Alabama does make it out with wins against all those teams, then the Tide deserves a chance to play for a title.

LSU hasn’t exactly been dominating their opponents this season. They just barely beat Mississippi State this weekend and didn’t beat Washington by much early on either.

LSU has to play Florida, which means the loser should drop a couple spots. LSU then has to play three other ranked teams in Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi. Not an easy schedule for them either, especially given their close games and reliance on the passing game.

Texas still has to play Oklahoma and most of the Big 12. There are a handful of teams that might pull off an upset against Texas in addition to OU. We all know how crazy the Big 12 was last year, and I find it hard to believe the Big 12 will be simple this year.

Florida is the team to beat, but how serious is Tim Tebow’s injury? Florida still has some tough opponents of its own.

Although all those teams may not lose, at least two of them will have one loss. That should at least give Boise some power since they are already rated so high.

Things are really good for Boise State if they just remain undefeated. For once their destiny is truly in their own hands.